TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7b20…b2f7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Dota2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.17
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.67
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.76
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.41
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$19.68
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.26
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.76
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.16
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.57
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.07
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.74
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.22
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$49.88
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$18.55
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Metsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14.3
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.43
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23.21
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Honduras win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$12.34
Colombia vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-41.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$25.71
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$14.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$46.04
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.09
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+67%+$13.07
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)backed SE Palmeiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Wang Cong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$28.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.