TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Dallas Wingsof New York Liberty, Dallas Wings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,201
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,209

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,201 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty54c2,718$1,473 inLost-$1,472.811,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings47c2,391$1,119 inWon+$1,271.471,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Dallas Wings42c936.16$393 inWon+$542.9736750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked New York Liberty56c900$504 inLost-$5045752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Dallas Wings44c299.97$133 inWon+$167.2939947.1%188 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Dallas Wings44c250.02$110 inWon+$140.0171245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed New York Liberty55c122$67 inLost-$67.3283748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed New York Liberty57c99.21$57 inLost-$56.557655.3%42 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed New York Liberty17c98.52$17 inLost-$17.0212216.4%20 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-34.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed New York Liberty52c88.68$46 inLost-$46.1124656.5%139 W · 107 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b20…b2f7backed New York Liberty60c38.48$23 inLost-$23.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked New York Liberty52c28.15$15 inLost-$14.642055%11 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Dallas Wings48c27.35$13 inWon+$14.2278548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab95…6c79backed New York Liberty56c25.17$14 inLost-$14.18933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-47%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Dallas Wings46c22$10 inWon+$11.8885158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x65ec…a2f9backed New York Liberty53c20.72$11 inLost-$112060%12 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa7…afb4backed Dallas Wings79c14$11 inWon+$2.941384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.20per pick65cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.