WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 172.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fd0154ff137ef8d9826e8eefefdf47053aa94a9c497007112d1934a5fd84773
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 64c | 5,601$3,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.08 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 1c | 2,561$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 43c | 2,352$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.43 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 56c | 2,195$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.08 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 1,624$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.04 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 59c | 1,497$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.98 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 41c | 1,414$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.99 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 1,000$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.74 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under | 14c | 858.3$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.98 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 30c | 821.55$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.47 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 2c | 722$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 11c | 296.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 12c | 263.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 13c | 263$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Under | 11c | 199.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 11c | 191.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 58c | 186.57$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.46 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 42c | 162.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…df6dbacked Under | 74c | 149.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 64c | 142.13$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.66 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 35c | 139.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 43c | 112.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Over | 57c | 91.62$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…284abacked Under | 31c | 88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…90b2backed Under | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -54%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…638bbacked Over | 68c | 84.68$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 49c | 81.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4579…8f46backed Over | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 43c | 79.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 41c | 69.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 51c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 27c | 47.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Over | 66c | 44.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…1a59backed Over | 78c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 50c | 40.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 57c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 79c | 15.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 172.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas WingsNew York Liberty won
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 174.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 175.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 176.5Over won
- Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.