WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a29b30bed41525ff2bf6bdc6e6eb1e761b925669e75e269e830b6a08b7a42a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dallas Wingsof New York Liberty, Dallas Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New York Liberty | 22c | 1,814$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.2 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dallas Wings | 74c | 1,086$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.47 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Dallas Wings | 71c | 522.97$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.53 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Liberty | 34c | 419.86$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.33 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Dallas Wings | 43c | 359.44$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.22 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked New York Liberty | 22c | 226.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed New York Liberty | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty | 56c | 184.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.67 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Dallas Wings | 78c | 172.87$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked New York Liberty | 16c | 157.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…3c64backed New York Liberty | 74c | 109$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dallas Wings | 40c | 101.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Dallas Wings | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed New York Liberty | 60c | 84.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Dallas Wings | 39c | 82.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Dallas Wings | 30c | 78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.65 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…94cfbacked New York Liberty | 40c | 73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dallas Wings | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked New York Liberty | 30c | 64.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Dallas Wings | 55c | 63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Dallas Wings | 38c | 52.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…1870backed New York Liberty | 59c | 50.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Dallas Wings | 67c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Liberty | 60c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed New York Liberty | 72c | 32.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Dallas Wings | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cc7cbacked New York Liberty | 62c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed New York Liberty | 50c | 27.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Dallas Wings | 78c | 21.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Dallas Wings | 78c | 19.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…45e8backed Dallas Wings | 79c | 14.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)this page
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas WingsNew York Liberty won
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 172.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 174.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 175.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 176.5Over won
- Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.