TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dallas Wingsof New York Liberty, Dallas Wings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,214
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,702

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,214 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked New York Liberty54c27,689$15,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,003.2111754.7%64 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings46c11,031$5,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,988.371,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed New York Liberty54c6,544$3,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,560.043956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Dallas Wings45c5,985$2,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,292.4834726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Dallas Wings46c5,551$2,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,982.7389349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed New York Liberty56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.9713746%63 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Dallas Wings46c2,813$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.6232049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed New York Liberty51c2,367$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.874546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Dallas Wings47c1,543$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.3740550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Dallas Wings48c1,189$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.5417946.4%83 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Dallas Wings45c1,086$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.0646247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Dallas Wings47c1,041$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.0192248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked New York Liberty55c926.93$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5079047.8%43 W · 47 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Dallas Wings50c712.85$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.638645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Dallas Wings46c590.69$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.4383748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Dallas Wings47c583$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.7385158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa3fe…aac5backed New York Liberty54c521.63$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.682646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Dallas Wings45c508.04$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.4232743.7%143 W · 184 L-23.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed New York Liberty57c438.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d7f…7b8abacked Dallas Wings45c379.57$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.76450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb255…cd57backed Dallas Wings44c363.64$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad1…9198backed New York Liberty52c324.58$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.781030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-40.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Dallas Wings48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.52860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked New York Liberty4c264.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.734753.9%187 W · 160 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Dallas Wings45c263.64$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.2941147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x20ed…adddbacked New York Liberty57c260.15$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.29475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked New York Liberty5c243.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.167451.4%38 W · 36 L+8.2wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+11.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked New York Liberty8c232.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7315741.4%65 W · 92 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Dallas Wings49c224.51$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.571245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Dallas Wings48c207.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.796845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed New York Liberty53c206.58$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.449554.7%52 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1c…95dcbacked Dallas Wings49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Dallas Wings46c201.3$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.734448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Dallas Wings45c187.43$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0914345.5%65 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Dallas Wings46c179$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6636750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed New York Liberty53c167.46$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.183946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed New York Liberty52c166$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7324347.7%116 W · 127 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Dallas Wings45c160$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8838650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x091a…8287backed New York Liberty53c159.25$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Dallas Wings45c144.11$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.739947.1%188 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef54…c997backed Dallas Wings51c125.08$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.798746%40 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked New York Liberty55c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.541250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x850f…b208backed New York Liberty23c111.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f7…3ea6backed Dallas Wings47c108$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.241566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+36.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf80…5993backed Dallas Wings49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.04666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Dallas Wings50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5015553.5%83 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Dallas Wings46c88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.521127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Dallas Wings46c80.03$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.268939.3%35 W · 54 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Dallas Wings47c75.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2926054.6%142 W · 118 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Liberty36c71.05$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.850952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Dallas Wings62c69$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9123955.2%132 W · 107 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Dallas Wings50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed Dallas Wings45c59.84$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.918149.4%40 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Dallas Wings79c56.93$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.832055%11 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Dallas Wings46c56.83$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.524854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Dallas Wings45c55.97$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.654660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Dallas Wings46c55.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.798045%36 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked New York Liberty53c55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.145945.8%27 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0811…1870backed New York Liberty55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fed…e9cabacked Dallas Wings48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.08771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+47.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Dallas Wings44c49.24$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.575933.9%20 W · 39 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Dallas Wings44c48.09$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.932653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d3…5639backed Dallas Wings45c47.69$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.236350.8%32 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Dallas Wings50c47.6$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.878548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…bdbabacked New York Liberty50c47.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.850%0 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Dallas Wings59c46.16$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7331448.4%152 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Dallas Wings45c45.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.712263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2bd8…e4d5backed Dallas Wings49c44.8$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.85450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Dallas Wings47c40.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.542650%13 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Dallas Wings46c36.55$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6124656.5%139 W · 107 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Dallas Wings45c35.55$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4714450%72 W · 72 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b89…23fbbacked Dallas Wings45c31.89$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.583050%15 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed New York Liberty57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.136454.1%197 W · 167 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Dallas Wings51c29.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.415156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad6f…cc7cbacked New York Liberty50c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4750%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xea6f…6572backed New York Liberty37c29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ead…f0fbbacked Dallas Wings44c28.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.81771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+26.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e33…e44ebacked Dallas Wings44c28.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2851…dccdbacked Dallas Wings45c27.72$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0456…5c6abacked New York Liberty56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…627dbacked New York Liberty57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed New York Liberty57c26.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8464152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Dallas Wings49c25.93$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.228140.6%114 W · 167 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed New York Liberty58c25.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed New York Liberty55c24.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.741741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c1b…85c8backed New York Liberty47c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7115451.9%80 W · 74 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked New York Liberty53c21.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.054052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Dallas Wings69c20.67$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3124852.4%130 W · 118 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x097c…630abacked Dallas Wings50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed New York Liberty51c19.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.197248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.