WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5af4cf03b968aa9c602bb7d6b651b0a79aef55969746b57457e4a400b61066b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dallas Wingsof New York Liberty, Dallas Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e37…6789backed Dallas Wings | 55c | 2,348$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 1,977$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.21 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked New York Liberty | 46c | 1,661$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.06 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty | 46c | 1,475$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.7 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked New York Liberty | 55c | 1,374$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty | 46c | 1,352$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.2 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 1,175$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.09 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…3994backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked New York Liberty | 45c | 639.88$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.95 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked New York Liberty | 49c | 612.51$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 603.85$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.08 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Liberty | 46c | 382.07$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.05 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed New York Liberty | 46c | 366.14$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.42 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Dallas Wings | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Liberty | 46c | 241.34$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.04 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed New York Liberty | 48c | 229.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed New York Liberty | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked New York Liberty | 46c | 210$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 123.66$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca70…3bafbacked Dallas Wings | 55c | 117.05$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 104.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked New York Liberty | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Dallas Wings | 55c | 82.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed New York Liberty | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed New York Liberty | 49c | 60.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…2791backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed New York Liberty | 46c | 47.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3c…8290backed New York Liberty | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6f…a60bbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 32.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed New York Liberty | 49c | 32.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Liberty | 43c | 30.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…d80cbacked New York Liberty | 54c | 29.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…a7f5backed Dallas Wings | 57c | 27.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed New York Liberty | 49c | 25.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -47%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed New York Liberty | 46c | 23.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Dallas Wings | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)this page
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas WingsNew York Liberty won
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 172.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 174.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 175.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 176.5Over won
- Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.