WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 176.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc066e1e6a4c6ecfc98a4ff39795260eb105d18c0660c02e8c57663d06db174cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ad1…9198backed Over | 50c | 10,180$5,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,090 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 7,111$3,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,471.73 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 54c | 6,212$3,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.56 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 2,287$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.92 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7f…7b8abacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 45c | 965.45$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.45 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 50c | 857.5$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.62 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 73c | 821.92$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.92 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 27c | 821$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.67 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 36c | 818.56$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.61 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 611$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.5 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 36c | 419.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 323.67$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.78 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 279.01$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.68 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0363…d67abacked Under | 52c | 256.14$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Under | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Under | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 14c | 134.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.88 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…fcd1backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Under | 35c | 104.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x770f…ac44backed Under | 31c | 103$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 47c | 93.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 44c | 80.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 45c | 79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…1655backed Over | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3b…244abacked Under | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0b…e9d9backed Under | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 49c | 67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed Under | 32c | 62.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 60c | 55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 47c | 54.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 47c | 54.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 48.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 47c | 47.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 45c | 36.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…0172backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…1870backed Over | 50c | 32.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…949abacked Under | 57c | 29.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 52c | 24.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Under | 51c | 23.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 53c | 20.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 176.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas WingsNew York Liberty won
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 172.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 174.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 175.5Over won
- Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.