WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 174.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b40d1806b4757cd0b3644d25ed421239f0013f5fa9f44fee811eca1bc1934f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 53c | 2,238$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.8 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Under | 47c | 1,990$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.39 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 56c | 1,580$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.39 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 44c | 1,398$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.41 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Over | 51c | 1,148$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.68 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 1,009$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.53 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 50c | 784.74$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.37 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 50c | 703.96$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 47c | 677.55$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.45 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Over | 52c | 577.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.31 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 52c | 394.41$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.32 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 367.62$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.24 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 205.04$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.22 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 52c | 176.58$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.69 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 51c | 146.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.66 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 37c | 143.42$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.96 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 50c | 139.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 48c | 139.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.79 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fe…aac5backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 69.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…33b5backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Over | 51c | 40.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 51c | 39.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed7…aae7backed Over | 51c | 39.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b81…988cbacked Over | 48c | 37.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 29.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 174.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas WingsNew York Liberty won
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 172.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 175.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 176.5Over won
- Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.