TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9e33…e44e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT3647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.39
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.8
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23.85
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.66
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.08
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.42
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.9
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$21.6
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.47
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.19
Washington Nationals vs. Athleticsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$7.09
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT3647.2%17 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Waltonbacked Thanasi Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
Estoril Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Alexander Blockxbacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Palermo: Fiona Ferro vs Erika Andreevabacked Fiona Ferro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.68
Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.35
Generali Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$7.1
Generali Open: Sebastian Baez vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Winnipeg: James McCabe vs Duncan Chanbacked Duncan Chan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$20.72
Winnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Braden Shickbacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.44
Estoril Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Jaime Fariabacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Livesport Prague Open: Anna Blinkova vs Sara Bejlekbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.43
Livesport Prague Open: Laura Samson vs Maya Jointbacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.77
Palermo: Alessandra Mazzola vs Dalila Spiteribacked Alessandra Mazzola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Estoril Open: Henrique Rocha vs Pedro Martinezbacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Hamburg European Open: Anna Bondar vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.94
Estoril Open: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.38
Hamburg European Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Julia Stusekbacked Nadia Podoroska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.4
Livesport Prague Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Dominika Salkovabacked Dominika Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.07
Generali Open: Facundo Acosta vs Federico Cinabacked Federico Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Estoril Open: Titouan Droguet vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.71
Livesport Prague Open: Veronika Podrez vs Carol Young Suh Leebacked Veronika Podrez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Arantxa Rus vs Chloe Paquetbacked Arantxa Rus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$3.72
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Elina Avanesyanbacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Generali Open: Alexandre Muller vs Mariano Navonebacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Livesport Prague Open: Alisa Oktiabreva vs Oceane Dodinbacked Oceane Dodin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.8
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.34
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.24
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.6
Argentina to score first vs. Spain?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.44
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.97
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+100.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$15.81
Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.58
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK CSKA 1948 Sofia win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$4.07
Will FC Spartak Trnava win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$7.33
Will Kalmar FF win on 2026-07-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
NBA Summer League: Toronto Raptors vs. Denver Nuggetsbacked Toronto Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.