South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Puebla win on 2026-07-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb78054d6182da78060cdf1023bec6e3356751c386295c5e2d9bcb251284e10ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 12c | 25,000$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.33 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 12c | 16,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 12c | 15,014$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.37 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 12c | 15,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 80c | 14,161$11,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.86 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 13c | 12,946$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.17 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 35c | 7,038$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.89 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 11c | 3,808$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.28 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed No | 69c | 2,500$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 34c | 2,206$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.7 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 9c | 2,156$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.8 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb778…6492backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 76c | 1,929$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.02 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 1,812$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.24 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 12c | 1,606$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.99 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 74c | 1,220$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.23 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,215$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.54 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 1,109$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.05 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 5c | 916.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 25c | 905.37$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.49 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 22c | 877.56$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.54 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77a…d17bbacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked No | 69c | 773.07$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.65 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes | 6c | 636.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 14c | 631.58$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Yes | 11c | 619.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 12c | 577.38$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 31c | 575.47$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.41 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 34c | 524.95$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.89 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 72c | 520$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.41 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 70c | 509.71$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.01 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 11c | 498.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 197 | 11.2%22 W · 175 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…42f1backed Yes | 36c | 474$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…b180backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66b4…d19fbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 14c | 361.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 14c | 347.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 75c | 326.73$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 12c | 299.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…8892backed Yes | 7c | 251.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Yes | 12c | 238$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 17c | 233.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf65f…134ebacked Yes | 11c | 215.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 32c | 155.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 28c | 146.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…8b33backed Yes | 33c | 120.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 9c | 115.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 12c | 108.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…50d4backed Yes | 19c | 103.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 72c | 98.76$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc6…fb63backed Yes | 12c | 84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Yes | 16c | 76.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 18c | 75.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 35c | 56.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed No | 69c | 34.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ead…f0fbbacked No | 69c | 20.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e33…e44ebacked No | 69c | 20.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed No | 65c | 16.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 69c | 16.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Puebla win on 2026-07-21?this page
- Will CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Puebla end in a draw?No won
- Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-07-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.