TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Puebla end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,923
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,314

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,923 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No77c33,007$25,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,557.852,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes32c12,883$4,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,087.738,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes16c8,040$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.82,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes19c7,382$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.665,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes16c5,520$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.1619742.1%83 W · 114 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No55c3,875$2,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.6728940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Yes16c2,760$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.589244.6%41 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes17c2,293$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.763,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes15c1,920$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.9831039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes27c1,787$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.3915945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8930…db72backed Yes48c1,779$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.441369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes36c1,632$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9255250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked Yes5c1,542$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.993743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes33c1,400$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.5499259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Yes16c1,337$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.997843.6%34 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7087…8c57backed Yes8c1,322$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes15c1,238$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.771,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94c1…8036backed Yes28c1,011$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.641741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes7c850$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5823733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b33…d653backed Yes13c759$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.832128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No50c688.22$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.7626835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes16c655$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.81346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5da2…73a1backed Yes16c654.38$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes16c642.75$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.841,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Yes45c617.82$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.438746%40 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No77c609.2$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.0351945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes14c605.88$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7135046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes35c604.59$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.9321044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes16c535.96$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4731136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes3c522.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3214530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Yes59c508.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-41.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes15c499.97$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7520846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes31c461.37$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.795155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No71c428.58$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.5812737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20810364.1%66 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed No75c380.88$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.015646.4%26 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes8c345$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.66040%24 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae68…7f0cbacked Yes41c338.34$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Yes27c323$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9735240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd362…b180backed Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick39cpaid-71.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1743…3d6fbacked Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+33.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes37c312.11$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.391,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb56d…8041backed Yes52c250.19$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.19425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-67%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes16c246.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.129122%20 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed Yes14c238$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.321931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-46.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf65f…134ebacked Yes8c236.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.931020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes28c222$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3572058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No63c218.55$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9220665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbc20…2d0dbacked Yes48c208.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x195d…fc2abacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb3e…1fbbbacked No60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No62c193.85$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6629047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.22per pick59cpaid+39.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No66c175$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7518338.8%71 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes28c170$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.361,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes14c163$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.821,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb94…6ef0backed No72c154.65$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.32882.1%23 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes27c149.95$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6224535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc155…d550backed Yes21c117.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Yes28c117.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No68c114.19$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.925635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018733.2%62 W · 125 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92ab…2ed6backed Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-48.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes16c101.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.319711.2%22 W · 175 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39e7…8a6ebacked Yes30c98.22$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed No44c97.68$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.52138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c09…b9b3backed Yes32c94.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes23c92.82$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3557540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked No48c91.54$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.197342.5%31 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e35…3655backed Yes29c80.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.42931%9 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No73c80$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3650643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca1f…d282backed No69c80$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.86471.9%46 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No60c79$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.630847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes18c76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.581,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes33c70$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.342946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeebe…72f2backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202441.7%10 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+26.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa3c…5607backed No78c64.86$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.271361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+52.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes35c62.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.912161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…fa2ebacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf8b…276abacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes36c60.09$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.613132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Yes27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.28821.6%19 W · 69 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.515143%65 W · 86 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes29c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.57241.7%30 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Yes44c59.86$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.34771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+41.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc402…83f7backed Yes55c59.67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x266c…6963backed Yes50c59.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick52cpaid-75.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c4d…a427backed Yes43c56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.081070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4336…492abacked Yes27c53.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.46616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-61.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30a5…cb35backed Yes28c50.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No68c49$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4719150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes22c48.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7148547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked No78c46.06$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.14040%16 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes30c45.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5763061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a80…df6dbacked Yes47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3735…1525backed No65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x301d…81a5backed Yes31c38.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed No67c37.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3118140.3%73 W · 108 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No69c32.25$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.