TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-07-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$327,633
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$363,926

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,633 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Yes51c44,102$22,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,717.492,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No54c24,894$13,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,329.195,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No38c23,477$8,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,846.928,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c27…b1babacked Yes73c23,286$17,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,286.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No9c17,535$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.312434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes55c11,636$6,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,220.4651945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes56c10,714$5,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,743.6948547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No36c10,270$3,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,725.862,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes74c8,122$5,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,132.5749136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No27c7,378$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.791,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No27c7,314$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.3731136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Yes44c7,180$3,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,020.651361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.28per pick33cpaid+72.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes59c6,947$4,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.4628940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No27c6,834$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,822.981,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed No10c6,284$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.186339.7%25 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No48c6,117$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,939.5875240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes66c5,156$3,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.9435046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No48c4,831$2,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,295.623,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes73c4,219$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.885837.9%22 W · 36 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No27c4,106$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.51,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes78c4,099$3,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.6323733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No62c4,055$2,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,532.2120036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No26c4,010$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.851,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed No17c3,562$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.478818.2%16 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick22cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No27c2,955$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7992948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed No62c2,678$1,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,673.516232.3%20 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed No10c2,222$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.243016.7%5 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No19c2,100$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40212737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No9c1,932$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.7116641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No37c1,927$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.7595155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed No53c1,860$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.1629037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No27c1,849$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.272,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No49c1,816$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.9755250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No8c1,733$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.530847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No43c1,726$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Yes54c1,644$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.0419155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc1…c168backed No27c1,533$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.8740%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No11c1,430$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.041,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed No62c1,353$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.918746%40 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8930…db72backed Yes72c1,318$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.131369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No28c1,307$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.249122%20 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed No8c1,288$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7811039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Yes73c1,273$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.592669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes73c1,214$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.131,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No27c1,200$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32416160.9%98 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No26c1,092$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.561,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58046530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b7…72a7backed Yes54c999.99$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes73c958.9$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed No47c953.03$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.023342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes64c927.2$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.855957.6%34 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No38c897.69$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.623254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No43c857$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.2972058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed No59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x214e…dbd2backed Yes72c794.86$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+462.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes73c756.25$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.192250%11 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No4c745.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2614530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Yes58c686.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.822864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+38.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b33…d653backed No48c659.7$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.12128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No49c654.82$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.2442946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c5b…a736backed Yes50c625.03$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.031020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-61.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No50c618.16$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.2326835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No27c546$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4215424%37 W · 117 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d7e…4bb1backed Yes41c544.22$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.091118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes60c534.38$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.9319437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Yes54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23012755.9%71 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No39c494.8$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1145746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed Yes51c494.18$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.836735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes66c483.31$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.3150643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No38c478.88$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.21,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked No63c476.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd362…b180backed Yes73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.961618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick39cpaid-71.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No5c400$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182910.3%3 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-86.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Yes54c395.63$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.635660.7%34 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked No44c386.8$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.637342.5%31 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed No26c384.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No60c380.44$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.281,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Yes71c362.37$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.455042%21 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes78c360.13$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1924665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Yes38c354.27$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.749920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No47c335$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.318338.8%71 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes60c322.34$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.0813373.7%98 W · 35 L+22.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+30.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked No42c304$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.747241.7%30 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No30c303.26$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2989846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1958452.4%44 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked Yes37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1892365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed No58c267.59$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0917051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Yes53c264.15$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.159148.4%44 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes69c246.48$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7189645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Yes41c243.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.93935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes63c238.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.176951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc20…2d0dbacked Yes42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d12…ccc3backed Yes43c231.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.292544%11 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes62c227.59$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.481,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No36c223.05$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0124535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No24c222.98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5319150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes35c222.77$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.857540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked No52c221.7$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.982650%13 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.