TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Angelsof St. Louis Cardinals, Los Angeles Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,808
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,716

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,808 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked St. Louis Cardinals39c47,434$18,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,653.181,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Angels58c7,889$4,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,344.018,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Angels61c7,302$4,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,847.663,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels61c6,967$4,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,743.3211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12f2…0193backed Los Angeles Angels78c5,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93cc…6ffcbacked Los Angeles Angels78c4,856$3,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Angels60c4,500$2,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7955,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Los Angeles Angels61c4,120$2,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.831,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Los Angeles Angels78c2,744$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.716666.7%44 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels51c1,990$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.5910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals49c1,541$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.078,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed St. Louis Cardinals39c1,315$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.8911540%46 W · 69 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels61c1,222$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.226,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Angels61c1,024$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.362,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Los Angeles Angels56c722.55$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.0233864.2%217 W · 121 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals44c631$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.644,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels57c599.39$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.2312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed St. Louis Cardinals62c564.78$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35025751.8%133 W · 124 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Los Angeles Angels61c528.82$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.242,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Los Angeles Angels61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Los Angeles Angels61c429$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.051,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49e…e5e8backed Los Angeles Angels63c396.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.839545.3%43 W · 52 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Los Angeles Angels61c370$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.6995252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals40c346.85$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.744,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Los Angeles Angels61c342.16$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.172,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed St. Louis Cardinals42c340.51$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.9510033%33 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Los Angeles Angels59c312.75$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.732,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Los Angeles Angels60c298$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.211,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa69d…228ebacked St. Louis Cardinals40c290.59$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.2419335.8%69 W · 124 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Angels61c284.38$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.918,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed St. Louis Cardinals49c272$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.2828943.3%125 W · 164 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x816b…9ec7backed Los Angeles Angels78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.417100%7 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfec…4c6cbacked Los Angeles Angels78c250$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Los Angeles Angels61c228.13$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9741346.7%193 W · 220 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Los Angeles Angels60c209.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed St. Louis Cardinals37c170$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.917348%83 W · 90 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd991…faeabacked Los Angeles Angels61c131.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1540449.3%199 W · 205 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked St. Louis Cardinals39c131.03$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518754%47 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels59c127$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.234,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Los Angeles Angels61c125.17$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.122,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Angels50c116$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.543,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed St. Louis Cardinals38c115$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.71,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed Los Angeles Angels61c114.75$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7567449.4%333 W · 341 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacac…2d37backed St. Louis Cardinals37c110$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.73138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1a3…d760backed St. Louis Cardinals37c94.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3524444.7%109 W · 135 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1f8…5de2backed St. Louis Cardinals46c76.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353228.1%9 W · 23 L-5.7wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-39.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Los Angeles Angels60c75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Los Angeles Angels61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5746659.7%278 W · 188 L+1.9wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c49…1862backed Los Angeles Angels63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4935353.8%190 W · 163 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed St. Louis Cardinals41c60.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7517550.3%88 W · 87 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Los Angeles Angels60c59.71$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8813357.9%77 W · 56 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Los Angeles Angels60c59.38$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7577647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed St. Louis Cardinals40c51.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6224149%118 W · 123 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6676…22f3backed Los Angeles Angels61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1852947.4%251 W · 278 L-24.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed St. Louis Cardinals51c48.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.664,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c99…d91abacked St. Louis Cardinals37c44.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.412235.2%43 W · 79 L-10.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Los Angeles Angels61c35.58$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.851,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ead…f0fbbacked St. Louis Cardinals41c35.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.45947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e33…e44ebacked St. Louis Cardinals41c35.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.43647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed St. Louis Cardinals41c33.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.91,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed St. Louis Cardinals36c33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8843459%256 W · 178 L+19.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d90…bcd6backed Los Angeles Angels45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.53951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad99…dbabbacked St. Louis Cardinals40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213048.5%63 W · 67 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea6f…6572backed St. Louis Cardinals53c29.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8410058%58 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Los Angeles Angels35c29$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8570737.6%266 W · 441 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Los Angeles Angels61c28.84$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Los Angeles Angels58c25.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8515050%75 W · 75 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad6f…cc7cbacked St. Louis Cardinals43c25.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.848051.3%41 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Los Angeles Angels60c25.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0234846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Los Angeles Angels61c22.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9589950.6%455 W · 444 L-24.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Los Angeles Angels60c22.57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.922,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Los Angeles Angels61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.878854.6%430 W · 358 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Los Angeles Angels64c17.84$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.512,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ece…1949backed Los Angeles Angels64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.