MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa150c2cf515d42df6466b5c0fa139eb2233c4f55844c3ed02c8260034fc99019
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 45c | 30,014$13,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,507.54 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 55c | 22,200$12,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,209.99 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 45c | 12,556$5,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,905.92 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.25 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 55c | 5,064$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,784.36 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 46c | 3,509$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.85 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed Over | 55c | 3,007$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.65 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 2,525$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.38 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 45c | 1,803$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.08 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.99 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 55c | 1,119$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.45 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 52c | 1,007$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.49 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 54c | 917$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.18 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…f0a6backed Under | 46c | 847.65$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.73 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 55c | 780$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 779.78$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.26 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Under | 47c | 640.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.04 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 556.55$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.28 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.75 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 50c | 468.51$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.27 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed Over | 53c | 464$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.23 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -8.9wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 53c | 428.79$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.26 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 45c | 384.82$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.92 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 55c | 319.64$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.8 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…bdd5backed Under | 57c | 296.56$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.52 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 55c | 257.97$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 45c | 240$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 234.06$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.05 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Over | 45c | 227.58$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.07 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 43c | 200.23$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.13 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 56c | 183.57$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.76 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 40c | 165.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 55c | 134$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Over | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 45c | 113.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.96 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 54c | 112.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 47c | 111.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 45c | 98.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Over | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…7850backed Under | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…5043backed Over | 54c | 87.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 46c | 82.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 47c | 76.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfca8…5795backed Under | 46c | 75.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 54c | 69.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Under | 46c | 50.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…b6e1backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570b…0bfebacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…1068backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 54c | 35.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…eeb9backed Under | 43c | 34.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a9…96ecbacked Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 55c | 32.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 46c | 28.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Over | 47c | 28.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Over | 52c | 26.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 47c | 22.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 72c | 21.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 787 | 54.6%430 W · 357 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 66c | 17.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 4.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.