MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d0750f726f15fd3ecbb801990fb6a36662c5efd86036a39ab7a520cdde9d057
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $342,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $344,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 58c | 299,546$174,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,157.67 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 42c | 194,301$80,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,789.6 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 43c | 21,485$9,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,238.55 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 44c | 15,537$6,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,806.06 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 42c | 15,402$6,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,534.36 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 42c | 10,000$4,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,150 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 43c | 7,500$3,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,225 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 56c | 7,312$4,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,198.11 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 43c | 6,900$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,967 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Over | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 5,782$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.68 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 4,354$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.28 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 43c | 3,559$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.41 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 56c | 3,521$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.24 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 41c | 2,904$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 42c | 2,510$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.74 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 43c | 1,512$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 43c | 1,512$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…adddbacked Under | 63c | 1,200$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 42c | 1,036$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.96 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 43c | 1,015$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.41 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 43c | 814$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.02 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 42c | 780$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.6 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 42c | 669.64$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.25 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 42c | 643.69$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.08 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 43c | 469.74$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.92 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 428.4$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.17 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 43c | 415$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.72 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 43c | 414.02$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.84 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 43c | 390$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.7 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Under | 56c | 381.32$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.78 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 56c | 347.25$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.79 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 45c | 327.54$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.39 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 43c | 324$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 58c | 289.71$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.04 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 43c | 288$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.91 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Over | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Over | 44c | 227$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 42c | 210$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 43c | 195.2$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.94 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 43c | 139.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 51c | 131.26$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.09 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 416 | 37.5%156 W · 260 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…f0a6backed Over | 44c | 103.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…12a6backed Over | 39c | 101.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 61c | 96.08$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 56c | 72.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfca8…5795backed Under | 58c | 67.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Over | 43c | 61.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Over | 38c | 59.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 43c | 50.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 43c | 50.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Over | 43c | 46.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 59.3%86 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Over | 42c | 44.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 43c | 44.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd3…bed8backed Under | 58c | 41.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Over | 43c | 39.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed Over | 40c | 35.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ead…f0fbbacked Over | 38c | 35.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e33…e44ebacked Over | 38c | 35.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…7e69backed Over | 45c | 33.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Over | 43c | 33.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…bb7bbacked Under | 56c | 33.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c22…7b22backed Over | 44c | 33.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Over | 43c | 30.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Over | 43c | 25.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cc7cbacked Over | 42c | 25.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 42c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Over | 43c | 24.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 51c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Under | 56c | 20.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…4d1abacked Under | 66c | 17.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1a…b251backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 4.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.