TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Athleticsof Athletics, Arizona Diamondbacks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$509,854
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$510,472

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $509,854 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Athletics50c247,044$124,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122,788.821,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks51c169,737$86,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86,984.1710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks49c39,260$19,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,314.742,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks33c18,184$5,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,965.3511,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Arizona Diamondbacks62c15,522$9,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,636.8243554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Athletics57c15,481$8,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,730.9898149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks58c14,493$8,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,4061,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed Athletics53c13,382$7,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,311.222420.8%5 W · 19 L-5.8wins-0.24per pick45cpaid-61.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Arizona Diamondbacks41c12,425$5,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,084.5495045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd7…89aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks43c11,092$4,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,780.044951%25 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics42c10,995$4,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,377.155,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Arizona Diamondbacks57c8,500$4,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8457651.3%39 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Athletics42c8,441$3,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,896.0136246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks45c7,354$3,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,282.328,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Arizona Diamondbacks39c7,171$2,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,831.948,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Athletics42c6,626$2,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,846.763,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Arizona Diamondbacks58c6,341$3,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,677.5819453.6%104 W · 90 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d5c…d8f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks21c6,250$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.933070%21 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+50.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks43c6,234$2,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,702.831,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Athletics42c6,197$2,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,594.261,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Arizona Diamondbacks31c6,138$1,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.481,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks32c5,963$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,907.924,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Athletics73c5,596$4,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,517.6797944.4%435 W · 544 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96d7…3a17backed Arizona Diamondbacks40c3,230$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.11163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6193…5b80backed Athletics79c3,222$2,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.8323146.8%108 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Athletics41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,77024651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics54c2,780$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.391,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Athletics42c2,391$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.9186653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks41c2,350$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.059,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Athletics43c2,265$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.787642.1%32 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Arizona Diamondbacks57c2,192$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.251,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Arizona Diamondbacks37c2,179$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80017951.4%92 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Athletics67c2,101$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.544,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd3…0e24backed Arizona Diamondbacks46c1,957$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Athletics42c1,900$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1021,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Arizona Diamondbacks58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023357.9%135 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Arizona Diamondbacks50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75012152.9%64 W · 57 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Arizona Diamondbacks58c1,466$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85089153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks55c1,459$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.228,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Arizona Diamondbacks53c1,456$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.2143459%256 W · 178 L+19.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2002…a75ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks35c1,285$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.1515751.6%81 W · 76 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Athletics41c1,210$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.7836048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics45c1,203$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.594,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Athletics45c1,100$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6019048.9%44 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Arizona Diamondbacks57c1,094$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.291,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks33c1,045$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.4552053.8%280 W · 240 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Athletics42c1,042$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.636,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaa5…4859backed Arizona Diamondbacks29c1,031$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.42133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Athletics42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58023758.6%139 W · 98 L+16.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58029046.6%135 W · 155 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8de…ccb4backed Athletics34c976.47$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.47650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64f3…34b6backed Athletics67c944$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3154957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Athletics65c901.55$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.5482636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Athletics42c892.85$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.8551547%242 W · 273 L+1.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Athletics57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.195263.5%33 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Arizona Diamondbacks58c862$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9620455.9%114 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47e2…9c15backed Arizona Diamondbacks58c859.14$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.3825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-52.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2de9…5289backed Arizona Diamondbacks29c834.32$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.1354945.4%249 W · 300 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Athletics42c833$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.141,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea39…9d34backed Arizona Diamondbacks53c830.44$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.6113453%71 W · 63 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Arizona Diamondbacks34c806.72$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27528152%146 W · 135 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Arizona Diamondbacks58c800$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46412448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Athletics42c779.98$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.391,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Athletics41c731.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.7129656.1%166 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Athletics48c688.25$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.8960043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x816b…d69dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks30c656.58$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9711759%69 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Arizona Diamondbacks38c647.5$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.321,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks61c601$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.6128347.3%134 W · 149 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed Athletics53c599.49$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.0948660.5%294 W · 192 L+40.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Arizona Diamondbacks48c551.82$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.6457758.1%335 W · 242 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Athletics56c549.47$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.582,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Arizona Diamondbacks46c538.26$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.64,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Athletics67c537.8$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.585,12654.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L+231.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Arizona Diamondbacks31c523$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.7213545.2%61 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Arizona Diamondbacks25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12594034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc630…fbe4backed Arizona Diamondbacks40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004228.6%12 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-39.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29030647.4%145 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Arizona Diamondbacks58c499.99$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9932850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Athletics42c494.73$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.9451545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Athletics76c490.99$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.8140043%172 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Athletics42c476$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.081,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc822…650bbacked Athletics43c467.44$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.446756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa384…3c9fbacked Athletics43c464.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.8328147.7%134 W · 147 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Athletics42c452.02$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.352,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks58c439.66$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25517961.5%110 W · 69 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Arizona Diamondbacks49c420.02$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.811,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f8b…37c8backed Athletics68c404.98$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.599570.5%67 W · 28 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21627552.4%144 W · 131 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed Arizona Diamondbacks57c349.98$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.492045%9 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd23e…e4a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011750.4%59 W · 58 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked Athletics66c340$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6635668.8%245 W · 111 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Athletics65c338.11$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac3f…dc17backed Athletics46c326.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.09560%3 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick24cpaid+94%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Athletics40c320$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Athletics42c305.35$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.1173849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Arizona Diamondbacks58c303$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.7444953.7%241 W · 208 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8c…01c9backed Athletics56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1325141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Athletics76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7217243%74 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Athletics65c283.3$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1519356.5%109 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad54…006abacked Arizona Diamondbacks60c279.05$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.4358060.5%351 W · 229 L+30.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.