MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe89ef2117544d9d079cf15c3f9ab5e2bfff301b8ffdbc7c4ee98d07b836ebd6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 53c | 15,013$7,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,047.05 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 57c | 11,388$6,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,927.78 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 47c | 6,593$3,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,095.82 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 47c | 6,137$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.43 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 63c | 6,099$3,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.78 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Under | 53c | 5,924$3,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,784.07 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 47c | 5,821$2,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,707 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 47c | 5,612$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625.45 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 37c | 5,288$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.56 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 48c | 5,258$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Under | 54c | 4,634$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.07 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 2,324$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.5 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 47c | 1,155$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.21 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Under | 52c | 1,111$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Over | 47c | 899.04$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.55 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 47c | 857.45$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 39c | 651.06$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.95 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 47c | 640.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.34 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 57c | 563$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.5 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Over | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 25c | 509.28$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 500$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.33 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 72c | 352.17$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.09 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 52c | 299.48$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.75 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 39c | 299.39$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.8 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 52c | 298.53$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.29 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 47c | 286.85$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.85 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 272.21$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.44 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 76c | 242.02$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…efddbacked Under | 54c | 240$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 37c | 203.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 143$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 55c | 143$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 800 | 52%416 W · 384 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 58c | 142.78$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 1,026 | 58.1%596 W · 430 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 47c | 140$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 785 | 50.2%394 W · 391 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 52c | 135.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 575 | 51.7%297 W · 278 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 132.24$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 44c | 130$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 71c | 114.11$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Over | 37c | 105.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 24c | 99.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 55c | 97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 634 | 54.3%344 W · 290 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Over | 42c | 91.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Under | 74c | 81.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Over | 48c | 68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 53c | 67.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 24c | 59.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 57c | 59.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Over | 48c | 56.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…6963backed Over | 48c | 56.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 52c | 55.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 343 | 55.4%190 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 55.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Over | 48c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Over | 47c | 52.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 380 | 57.4%218 W · 162 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 24c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 61c | 51.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 57c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 45.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 47c | 42.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 53c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 453 | 58.7%266 W · 187 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 58c | 37.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 37c | 31.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 895 | 48.3%432 W · 463 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cc7cbacked Over | 42c | 27.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Under | 52c | 27.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 48c | 27.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 1,040 | 51.8%539 W · 501 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe9…c0f8backed Under | 54c | 27.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb53f…edc4backed Over | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 54c | 22.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 1,374 | 54.2%745 W · 629 L | +16.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 476 | 46.8%223 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 71c | 21.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5this page
- Athletics vs. Arizona DiamondbacksAthletics won
- Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Athletics vs. Arizona DiamondbacksNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.