TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Palermo: Fiona Ferro vs Erika Andreeva

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fiona Ferroof Fiona Ferro, Erika Andreeva
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$152,008
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,008 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Erika Andreeva4c27,814$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.868,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Fiona Ferro59c8,641$5,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,544.236,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Fiona Ferro70c8,224$5,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,474.1493740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Erika Andreeva34c6,451$2,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,207.983,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Erika Andreeva29c5,938$1,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,741.0611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Erika Andreeva28c3,952$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.158,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Fiona Ferro66c2,385$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.1816059.4%95 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Erika Andreeva18c2,287$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.038,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Erika Andreeva3c2,089$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.81,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Erika Andreeva44c1,990$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.652,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Erika Andreeva54c1,756$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.021,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Erika Andreeva43c1,533$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.3192237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Fiona Ferro69c1,069$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.973,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Fiona Ferro61c826.01$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.112,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Fiona Ferro57c600$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.11,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Fiona Ferro60c571.94$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.4576355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Fiona Ferro63c569.55$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.1782958.1%482 W · 347 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Erika Andreeva30c500.54$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.922,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Erika Andreeva43c488.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.271,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Fiona Ferro44c486.37$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.019,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Erika Andreeva22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043334.9%151 W · 282 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b0d…6b6abacked Erika Andreeva8c449.01$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37449.1%4 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Fiona Ferro72c442.76$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.564,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Fiona Ferro52c428$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.9324637.4%92 W · 154 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5331…cf7cbacked Fiona Ferro50c396.1$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.17157.7%41 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12f5…904dbacked Fiona Ferro62c372.58$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.582638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Erika Andreeva25c366.3$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4787741.3%362 W · 515 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Fiona Ferro65c354.13$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.113,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Fiona Ferro70c247$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8929149.5%144 W · 147 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Erika Andreeva42c243.03$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.661,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa84d…bebdbacked Erika Andreeva13c241.59$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2634748.1%167 W · 180 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Fiona Ferro37c213.73$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.084,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Erika Andreeva10c213$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3622540.4%91 W · 134 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0c6…0b4dbacked Erika Andreeva18c194.44$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356442.2%27 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Erika Andreeva24c192.12$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.555,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Erika Andreeva16c183.19$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.526,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4daa…9f01backed Erika Andreeva34c182.32$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.57463.5%47 W · 27 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fc1…f1d3backed Erika Andreeva45c166.27$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Erika Andreeva44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6624951.4%128 W · 121 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11d2…510abacked Erika Andreeva44c148$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.821936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Erika Andreeva41c145.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7490152.3%471 W · 430 L-2.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Erika Andreeva41c138$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5819537.4%73 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Erika Andreeva32c131.57$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.251,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ee…794dbacked Erika Andreeva41c130.15$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.187356.2%41 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Fiona Ferro78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.212,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9e1…1bbfbacked Erika Andreeva57c123.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Erika Andreeva41c120.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.995,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a2…a5ffbacked Erika Andreeva22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515135.1%53 W · 98 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Erika Andreeva36c112.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1699244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Erika Andreeva42c101.93$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.817,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe256…db21backed Erika Andreeva16c96.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153450%17 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Erika Andreeva24c86.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3854141.4%224 W · 317 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x664f…868cbacked Fiona Ferro58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.212673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+21.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcec8…4bedbacked Erika Andreeva31c77.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9612149.6%60 W · 61 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b33…d653backed Erika Andreeva31c77.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0623442.7%100 W · 134 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eef…5275backed Fiona Ferro78c76.94$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9336378.2%284 W · 79 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick77cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42e9…80c7backed Fiona Ferro42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4318343.7%80 W · 103 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14fc…d8f4backed Erika Andreeva31c69.16$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4511045.5%50 W · 60 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d3d…ebeabacked Erika Andreeva23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510838.9%42 W · 66 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Fiona Ferro55c65.2$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.343,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Fiona Ferro41c65$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.351,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5429…83c2backed Fiona Ferro46c64.87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8720128.4%57 W · 144 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Erika Andreeva39c60.02$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.451782.4%14 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.24per pick58cpaid+40.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Fiona Ferro55c59.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2757449.1%282 W · 292 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc887…f098backed Fiona Ferro58c56.9$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.91050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Fiona Ferro56c54.5$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.984,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Fiona Ferro56c54.47$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9178957.8%456 W · 333 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb695…f967backed Fiona Ferro58c53.32$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.213647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Erika Andreeva39c52.9$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6311345.1%51 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Erika Andreeva42c50.36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1585250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Erika Andreeva32c48.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.494,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Erika Andreeva41c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4512545.6%57 W · 68 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a9a…3333backed Fiona Ferro60c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184344.2%19 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x097c…630abacked Erika Andreeva41c44.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1821052.4%110 W · 100 L-12.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Fiona Ferro58c42.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.931,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b9e…cb21backed Erika Andreeva40c41.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5813559.3%80 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Erika Andreeva38c41.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7719656.6%111 W · 85 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Erika Andreeva44c40.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.582,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Erika Andreeva40c39.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0185637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Erika Andreeva32c38.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.162,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00d9…b1b1backed Fiona Ferro35c37.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1450736.1%183 W · 324 L-0.5wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bdc…e345backed Erika Andreeva34c36.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2716943.8%74 W · 95 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Fiona Ferro47c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.51,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Erika Andreeva57c34.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7465434.9%228 W · 426 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x023d…23acbacked Fiona Ferro46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6161755.9%345 W · 272 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Fiona Ferro66c32.56$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.221,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Fiona Ferro41c32.44$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.193945.5%427 W · 512 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Fiona Ferro64c31.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5125259.9%151 W · 101 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa31a…d023backed Fiona Ferro79c31.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.654456.8%25 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Erika Andreeva40c29.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.736256.5%35 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Fiona Ferro39c27.13$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.551,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x853f…bdf1backed Fiona Ferro56c26.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.673458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Erika Andreeva44c25.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2136349.9%181 W · 182 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d2…9ac2backed Erika Andreeva50c25.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5414644.5%65 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d34…d7b5backed Fiona Ferro60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.152552.4%275 W · 250 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8fc…b543backed Fiona Ferro54c23.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9924546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e79…22e3backed Fiona Ferro64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4411756.4%66 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2296…0f83backed Fiona Ferro58c20.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.787656.6%43 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b89…23fbbacked Fiona Ferro59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.32365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Fiona Ferro69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.215155%83 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.