TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New York Yankeesof Los Angeles Dodgers, New York Yankees
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$251,854
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$255,444

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,854 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb85…152fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers46c145,571$66,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,518.1316548.5%80 W · 85 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed New York Yankees57c76,034$43,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,766.664,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Yankees56c64,086$35,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,197.811,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed New York Yankees55c26,290$14,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,830.7123351.1%119 W · 114 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked New York Yankees55c20,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,00033852.7%178 W · 160 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers43c10,281$4,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,407.9711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers44c7,973$3,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,508.294,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees55c7,644$4,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,439.664,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers26c7,385$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.138,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b03…1e27backed Los Angeles Dodgers45c6,461$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,924.91666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed New York Yankees56c5,678$3,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,486.756,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Los Angeles Dodgers45c5,556$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5007934.2%27 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees58c3,848$2,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.6410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed New York Yankees56c3,571$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.3173949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb72…6532backed Los Angeles Dodgers30c3,570$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.133050%15 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed New York Yankees54c2,626$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.9277647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed New York Yankees55c1,950$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.351,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed New York Yankees57c1,096$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.281,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaa5…4859backed Los Angeles Dodgers30c1,020$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.042133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x615d…bd5bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers30c1,020$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.042556%14 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed New York Yankees53c999.84$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.521,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed New York Yankees53c990.01$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.0564452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Los Angeles Dodgers45c892.22$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013851.4%71 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees55c865.14$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.546,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed New York Yankees57c801.7$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.751,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Los Angeles Dodgers34c794.26$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2705547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed New York Yankees56c776.87$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.5595252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Dodgers28c710.04$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.578,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed New York Yankees57c690.36$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.922,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Los Angeles Dodgers44c647.06$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.711,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers37c576$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.614,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed New York Yankees56c535.34$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.551,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed New York Yankees54c411.51$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.2941346.7%193 W · 220 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked New York Yankees71c400$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1185570.9%39 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers13c362.46$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.319,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed New York Yankees54c345.26$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.912,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked New York Yankees58c299.98$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.992,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees58c295.09$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.294,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers42c280$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.55,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed New York Yankees54c247.1$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.442,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees57c242.04$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.188,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked New York Yankees58c215.34$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2240447.8%193 W · 211 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Dodgers30c211.17$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.63,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Los Angeles Dodgers42c204.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.157747.7%275 W · 302 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed New York Yankees55c204.2$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.8973849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Los Angeles Dodgers28c200.15$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5419934.2%68 W · 131 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Los Angeles Dodgers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed New York Yankees55c198$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.11,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked New York Yankees59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4943247%203 W · 229 L-19.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4c7…b8e1backed Los Angeles Dodgers29c150.46$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…9c8fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers45c144.44$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked New York Yankees58c139.98$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.791,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked New York Yankees53c138$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8654642.5%232 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers41c118.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.481,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers29c116$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.081,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers44c114.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.072,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked New York Yankees55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4599447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe741…a9d1backed Los Angeles Dodgers41c98.8$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.511163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed New York Yankees59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7510647.2%50 W · 56 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked New York Yankees55c82.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0917255.8%96 W · 76 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers36c81.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.261,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf72…c8d0backed Los Angeles Dodgers44c78.55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.561855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers29c76.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.064,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Los Angeles Dodgers35c70.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.542,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb515…7e2bbacked New York Yankees72c69.51$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.514658.7%27 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0570…16c9backed Los Angeles Dodgers38c63.94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0410642.5%45 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed New York Yankees57c60.79$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1424149%118 W · 123 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed New York Yankees68c59.71$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9617749.7%88 W · 89 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7aa…abe3backed New York Yankees57c56$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8635149.3%173 W · 178 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed New York Yankees60c43.87$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.551,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e9b…f703backed Los Angeles Dodgers44c42.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.913850%19 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Los Angeles Dodgers29c42.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.312,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Los Angeles Dodgers34c39.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6463954.5%348 W · 291 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Los Angeles Dodgers41c38.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5370455%387 W · 317 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed New York Yankees57c37.65$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1917550.3%88 W · 87 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked New York Yankees57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.092334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.6wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-41.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5cdd…4648backed Los Angeles Dodgers30c34.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.32347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed New York Yankees69c32.23$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9943459%256 W · 178 L+19.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Los Angeles Dodgers43c31.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.881,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed New York Yankees66c31.01$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.541,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a8d…d241backed New York Yankees77c26.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.263677.8%28 W · 8 L+8.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+40%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked New York Yankees69c25.21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9287370.1%612 W · 261 L+91.6wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+14.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5b89…23fbbacked New York Yankees54c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.048237.8%31 W · 51 L-9.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed New York Yankees57c22.24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5613151.1%67 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e33…e44ebacked New York Yankees57c21.37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.193647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked New York Yankees61c17.87$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.961,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ea0…86b1backed New York Yankees71c16.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.753574.3%26 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+29.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.