MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c5f589b5c7dccbcbf0be6ea047d31784e2e2f6fe3797e9c8bf994b15fa453c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 28,360$13,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,154.96 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 63c | 17,722$11,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,208.6 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 10,122$5,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,942.4 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 37c | 10,054$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,334.05 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 53c | 8,332$4,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,913.41 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 65c | 3,702$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.35 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 38c | 2,356$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.34 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 53c | 1,396$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.86 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 56c | 1,375$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.8 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked Over | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 36c | 1,085$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.13 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 46c | 1,024$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.96 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 37c | 994.75$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.12 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 54c | 957.76$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.19 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 47c | 874.75$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.8 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 37c | 834.68$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.85 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 46c | 756.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.08 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 46c | 646.99$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.84 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Over | 64c | 641.3$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.43 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 54c | 614.12$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.62 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…4745backed Over | 54c | 556$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 40c | 496.26$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.8 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 37c | 449.92$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.45 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…f35fbacked Over | 50c | 440.06$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 39c | 436$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.61 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 35c | 390$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.5 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 42c | 350$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 37c | 318.58$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.25 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 43c | 291.33$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.65 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 36c | 284$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.76 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 42c | 174.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.92 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 78c | 155.22$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 51c | 137.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 36c | 119$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Under | 43c | 101.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 49c | 98.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 47c | 98.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 30c | 77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 55c | 73.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 73c | 72.27$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Under | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf72…c8d0backed Under | 47c | 58.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…b8e1backed Under | 44c | 56.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 40c | 56.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x378c…14b8backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Under | 36c | 46.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 37c | 45.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 73c | 43.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Over | 54c | 39.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 54c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Over | 52c | 38.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 59.3%86 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…4cc2backed Under | 47c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 37c | 37.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Over | 48c | 35.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 54c | 32.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 36c | 30.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…8e0cbacked Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb53f…edc4backed Under | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8d…d241backed Under | 38c | 28.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 36 | 77.8%28 W · 8 L | +8.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +40%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…86b1backed Under | 47c | 27.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Under | 47c | 26.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 61c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Over | 65c | 22.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Over | 56c | 21.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbc…8c98backed Under | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.