TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$291,256
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$292,455

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,256 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under44c204,092$89,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114,291.543647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over56c204,021$114,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114,251.851,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under54c23,280$12,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,706.2611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over56c13,829$7,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,766.254,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked Under50c11,577$5,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,788.52245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over50c10,821$5,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,411.494,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over40c9,530$3,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,811.9410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under44c5,519$2,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,096.816,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Under43c4,000$1,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,270.8926054.2%141 W · 119 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2a0…b16bbacked Under45c3,804$1,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,092.449643.8%42 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb267…5f55backed Over46c3,470$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.363951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over56c2,976$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.6711540%46 W · 69 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Over47c2,902$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.5132251.6%166 W · 156 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under44c2,589$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.954,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Over52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.9924639%96 W · 150 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under53c2,198$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.088,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Under44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12012152.9%64 W · 57 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under44c1,624$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.4351545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82586653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c1,326$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.578,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ecc…7850backed Over57c1,228$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7005152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over55c918.89$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50436048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over5c918.63$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.264,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over56c780$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.81,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under52c709.55$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.6457046.8%267 W · 303 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Over57c627.36$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35517961.5%110 W · 69 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under76c523.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3213461.9%83 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28032850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over49c499.99$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.9929950.5%151 W · 148 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22423758.6%139 W · 98 L+16.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over48c360.87$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.1419934.2%68 W · 131 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under48c350$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.52,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under45c320.16$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.0928154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under43c314$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.982,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under44c296.41$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.0447350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over24c274.37$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.084,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.411,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x428d…8cb6backed Under45c214.18$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.89753.6%52 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11495850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Over57c174.49$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9724149%118 W · 123 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Under45c164.84$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1615953.5%85 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under43c148.49$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.641,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over20c146.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.529,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Under45c134.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0959749.9%298 W · 299 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under52c130.2$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2448653.7%261 W · 225 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Under56c120.55$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0486548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under48c110.42$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4247549.7%236 W · 239 L+17.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under48c106.25$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2554651.3%280 W · 266 L+29.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under44c102.56$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4344245.5%201 W · 241 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5599447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3142355.6%235 W · 188 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497444.6%33 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5616552.7%87 W · 78 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x460b…4d66backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-66.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdc07…5ccabacked Over57c93.07$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under44c90.3$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.752,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under48c89.58$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5827646.7%129 W · 147 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Over56c89.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509756.7%55 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8a46…c6a0backed Over57c84.21$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489753.6%52 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under43c82.52$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0464452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Under44c79.82$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.78045%36 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under55c74.28$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.121,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under55c72.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.931,80453.8%970 W · 834 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbf…c53cbacked Over56c67.39$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.744450%22 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6595252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x369e…d016backed Under61c57.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3311560.9%70 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over31c53.85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.696,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4c7…b8e1backed Under50c52.73$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.532634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Under43c52.26$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5917255.8%96 W · 76 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x378c…14b8backed Over37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.53348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over35c49.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.52,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Over50c49.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.923244%102 W · 130 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed Under49c49.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1917749.7%88 W · 89 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over54c46.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.941,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under51c45.66$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5488247.7%421 W · 461 L+3.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over43c45.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.391,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Over55c44.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7545445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc38…bb0ebacked Under72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.679341.9%39 W · 54 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over29c41.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1247446.6%221 W · 253 L+26.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Under45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2226747.9%128 W · 139 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under68c38.88$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.441,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Under57c38.07$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3743459%256 W · 178 L+19.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d5…53d0backed Over45c32.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.373444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36ef…0172backed Under50c30.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.43060%18 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.267742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x205d…2ad2backed Under55c27.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.237753.2%41 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8d…d241backed Under51c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.233677.8%28 W · 8 L+8.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+40%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x2bb3…b370backed Over57c24.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1919555.9%109 W · 86 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Under50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128239%32 W · 50 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Under49c23.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8213151.1%67 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under51c20.96$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2770455%387 W · 317 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under76c19.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7415050%75 W · 75 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over55c19.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7134846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.