MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22d2e9466ed3cb61250fc7c03dd10172653a0bcde857085a7910318336a7b475
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Baltimore Orioles, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $783,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $863,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $783,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 333 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 264,549$105,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,819.49 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 227,775$122,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,598.44 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa244…b9f8backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 100,000$60,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 26,067$14,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,055.27 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 26,049$14,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,958.25 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 15,526$6,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,362.54 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 14,840$6,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,040.94 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 14,007$8,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,602.67 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 13,035$5,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,519.34 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 69c | 12,577$8,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,905.09 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Baltimore Orioles | 11c | 11,573$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.06 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 10,412$5,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,425.02 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 9,761$3,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,068.46 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Boston Red Sox | 64c | 8,604$5,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,096.56 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…89aabacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 8,432$4,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,332.57 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 6,464$2,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.44 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 5,719$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.1 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Boston Red Sox | 73c | 5,118$3,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.15 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Boston Red Sox | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.97 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed Boston Red Sox | 65c | 4,986$3,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 4,596$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.3 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 4,444$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.77 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…a8a1backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 3,954$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 3,805$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.83 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 3,516$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.41 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 3,352$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 2,695$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.92 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 2,599$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.49 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 2,417$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.67 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 2,362$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.64 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 2,355$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.17 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5c…d8f2backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 2,288$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.72 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 2,261$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.84 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Boston Red Sox | 78c | 2,174$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.03 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 2,102$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.59 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,958$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.17 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 1,609$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.99 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 1,595$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.23 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 67c | 1,577$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.31 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 1,423$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.43 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 1,417$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.88 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 1,334$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.28 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 1,306$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.36 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…8962backed Boston Red Sox | 79c | 1,269$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.16 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,205$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.36 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.99 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…abeabacked Boston Red Sox | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.11 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Boston Red Sox | 71c | 1,089$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.98 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 995.2$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.96 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 995.09$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.56 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 986.44$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.48 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 986$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.54 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 864.05$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.75 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 819$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 818.61$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.83 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 787.79$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.12 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 687.62$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.46 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 685.9$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.34 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 639.52$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.48 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 614.98$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.19 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 609.75$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Baltimore Orioles | 24c | 592.88$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 589.37$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.79 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 553.37$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.35 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 544.99$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.5 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 12c | 518.07$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 510.44$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.41 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4159…beedbacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 502.39$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94be…e0b4backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 495$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 489.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 487.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.23 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Boston Red Sox | 75c | 478.41$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.37 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 476$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 475$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 470.57$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.34 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 454.93$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.09 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 450$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…e2c4backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 439.82$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.51 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Baltimore Orioles | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…9dcdbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 411.66$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.66 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 389.83$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 373.46$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.12 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd759…6d1abacked Boston Red Sox | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 360.83$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 536 | 39.9%214 W · 322 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 354.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Boston Red Sox | 64c | 351$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.36 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 341.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.7 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.