MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ac69071e9cafb792fd3aa24983701e755cc8a9549aa824072628eb276962a79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 54c | 28,336$15,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,035.21 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 46c | 21,686$9,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,975.33 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 4,194$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.68 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1b…f28abacked Under | 48c | 4,052$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.29 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 53c | 2,300$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.99 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 48c | 2,044$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.18 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 53c | 2,002$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.18 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 47c | 1,603$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.41 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.23 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 999.99$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.95 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 51c | 975.76$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.12 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 892.3$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.28 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 48c | 880.03$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.74 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 45c | 780$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 46c | 749.99$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.99 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Under | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 48c | 638.76$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.94 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 51c | 484.83$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.92 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 44c | 458.18$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.11 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 55c | 425.85$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.63 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 49c | 373.98$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.25 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 328.66$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.33 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 48c | 326.1$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.14 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 47c | 296.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.58 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…37b7backed Under | 4c | 268.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 43c | 260.68$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.63 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Under | 46c | 249.57$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 50c | 230$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.69 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 220.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 58c | 211.55$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.07 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 48c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 51c | 164.03$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 49c | 132.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 49c | 132.55$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 51c | 132$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 53c | 131.2$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 120.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 59.3%86 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 58c | 100.86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Under | 46c | 99.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 59c | 99.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…58e8backed Over | 55c | 89.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 45c | 86.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 47c | 82.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 60c | 77.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 71.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 49c | 69.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 45c | 68.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 45c | 67.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…bb7bbacked Under | 47c | 64.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 52c | 62.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Under | 46c | 57.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 45c | 53.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x757c…d1bfbacked Under | 46c | 52.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 52c | 52.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 46c | 50.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Under | 47c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 51c | 40.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 50c | 40.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Under | 47c | 36.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 41c | 32.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…0172backed Under | 39c | 29.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Under | 40c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 55c | 28.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Under | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d5…1ca9backed Under | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…b7adbacked Over | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 78c | 21.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.