MLB · resolved market
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bfec826ceaadc5350b9c89ac7dfb8ebba9ee877bbc6cd56a1dc8dc667fe3fe4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Boston Red Sox, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 5,640$2,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980.62 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…b325backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 3,519$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.46 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc4…db58backed Boston Red Sox | 12c | 3,025$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.58 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.1 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 1,949$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.92 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Baltimore Orioles | 70c | 1,941$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.3 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 1,887$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.92 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 76c | 1,348$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.99 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 1,254$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.64 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 76c | 1,241$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.08 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Boston Red Sox | 31c | 1,196$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.89 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 972.92$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.69 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 969.33$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.42 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 961.68$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.66 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 940$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.03 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 22c | 931.04$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.48 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox | 10c | 915.41$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.81 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 843.01$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 839.75$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.09 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 766.9$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.29 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Boston Red Sox | 42c | 749$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.58 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 676.08$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.43 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Boston Red Sox | 37c | 669.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee2…e88fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 603.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.45 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 574.4$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.53 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Boston Red Sox | 32c | 552$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.61 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 397.98$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.24 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 345$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.75 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 76c | 340.71$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 329.21$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.56 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 329.21$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.56 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Boston Red Sox | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 270.26$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.95 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 255.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Boston Red Sox | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 232.31$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…235ebacked Boston Red Sox | 42c | 224.81$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 213.73$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Baltimore Orioles | 74c | 212.26$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 207.81$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 205.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 175$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 175$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 138$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Baltimore Orioles | 73c | 121.24$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 59.3%86 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Boston Red Sox | 42c | 99.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6096…e6d9backed Boston Red Sox | 20c | 95.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 75c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Boston Red Sox | 26c | 88.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 84.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Boston Red Sox | 36c | 76.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Boston Red Sox | 35c | 74.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Boston Red Sox | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd8…e4d5backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 55.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Boston Red Sox | 24c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 46.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 46.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Baltimore Orioles | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…3a5cbacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Boston Red Sox | 26c | 40.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cc7cbacked Boston Red Sox | 35c | 38.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 36.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6458…2a3bbacked Boston Red Sox | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 36.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb099…b313backed Baltimore Orioles | 70c | 35.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 34.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…5cd4backed Baltimore Orioles | 71c | 14.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.