MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d6e7e621e5ea2969632095002e10f744987bfc94c6a988fabc23f328ae693f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $280,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $280,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 60c | 161,926$96,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,903.9 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 40c | 97,723$39,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,460.8 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 58c | 85,314$49,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,482.39 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 42c | 83,333$35,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,333.14 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 23,570$11,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500.92 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 40c | 5,200$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.65 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…b16bbacked Under | 21c | 4,550$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.29 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 40c | 4,513$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.84 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 40c | 3,947$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.93 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 3,553$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.58 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Over | 41c | 3,464$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.77 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 40c | 2,513$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.16 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 41c | 2,494$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.59 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 42c | 2,048$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.08 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 41c | 1,465$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.91 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked Over | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 40c | 1,194$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.25 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 40c | 1,007$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.04 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 41c | 979$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.19 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 41c | 916.72$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.99 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 40c | 875$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 58c | 800.09$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.01 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 40c | 729.9$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.34 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 40c | 695.99$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.61 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Under | 62c | 581.57$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.6 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 42c | 570.63$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.55 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 36c | 561.83$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.13 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 41c | 404.77$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…c72dbacked Over | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…f0a6backed Over | 42c | 399.97$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.33 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 332.65$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.95 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 21c | 331.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 75c | 329.07$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.78 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 58c | 310.07$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.84 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 58c | 302$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.16 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 40c | 257.56$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.95 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 41c | 253$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.27 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…9c28backed Over | 42c | 227.38$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.88 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 41c | 200.2$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.12 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 40c | 195$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.27 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 42c | 187.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.03 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 67c | 182.89$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.96 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 59c | 176.04$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.47 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 58c | 147.55$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.58 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 41c | 140$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 59c | 139.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.42 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 60c | 136$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.28 | 423 | 55.6%235 W · 188 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 39c | 124.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.87 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 48c | 122.31$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 49c | 121$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Over | 41c | 99.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.72 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Over | 41c | 98.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 145 | 59.3%86 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over | 40c | 91.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 61c | 90$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 59c | 83.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 42c | 83.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 48c | 82.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 41c | 72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 80c | 71.42$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 41c | 65.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Over | 40c | 63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Under | 59c | 61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Over | 40c | 51.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac57…85c6backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 158 | 41.8%66 W · 92 L | -12.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…1068backed Over | 39c | 47.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 39c | 44.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfca8…5795backed Over | 42c | 44.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Under | 58c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 41c | 43.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb67…20ddbacked Over | 41c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2851…dccdbacked Over | 80c | 37.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ead…f0fbbacked Over | 40c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e33…e44ebacked Over | 40c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 42c | 35.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Over | 40c | 35.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…16c9backed Over | 40c | 35.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…5ea3backed Over | 43c | 34.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Under | 58c | 32.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 206 | 57.8%119 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Under | 37c | 30.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cc7cbacked Under | 58c | 28.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Under | 53c | 26.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 40c | 25.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 40c | 25.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c22…7b22backed Under | 59c | 24.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Under | 59c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 58c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Under | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.