Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FC Spartak Trnava win on 2026-07-22?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc710a230d5bf508e0022013e4dcd080ad5ec75969d6933cf0aacbe99793150f9

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $75,451
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $76,825

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,451 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdb83…1e50backed No	64c	6,269$3,986 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,282.96	568	49.6%282 W · 286 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes	36c	4,486$1,621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,620.85	973	46%448 W · 525 L	-4.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	34c	2,758$929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$928.79	2,990	42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L	+9.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes	39c	2,142$838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$838.48	969	47.5%460 W · 509 L	+13.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No	65c	1,903$1,234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$669.86	814	40.5%330 W · 484 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	70c	1,903$1,328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$575.05	3,726	47%1,750 W · 1,976 L	+20.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No	67c	1,741$1,162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$579.21	2,333	41.7%972 W · 1,361 L	+25.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No	64c	1,551$986 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$564.65	174	43.1%75 W · 99 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes	39c	1,400$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	102	49%50 W · 52 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes	40c	1,250$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	48	33.3%16 W · 32 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No	62c	1,130$704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.76	174	46%80 W · 94 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No	63c	1,065$675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$389.76	2,167	37.6%815 W · 1,352 L	+5.7wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No	62c	1,053$653 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400.14	112	35.7%40 W · 72 L	-6.9wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes	38c	1,010$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.01	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d7e…4bb1backed Yes	35c	870.22$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.84	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes	27c	859.71$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.87	1,604	38.9%624 W · 980 L	-17.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Yes	36c	771.63$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.79	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+3.2wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No	63c	729.5$458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.04	661	50.5%334 W · 327 L	+22.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes	34c	570.71$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.76	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Yes	34c	559.64$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.34	44	54.5%24 W · 20 L	+5.2wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed No	64c	500$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	40	60%24 W · 16 L	+3.6wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No	64c	476$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.44	880	48.2%424 W · 456 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No	64c	476$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.44	1,022	47.5%485 W · 537 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No	64c	476$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.44	1,316	50.8%668 W · 648 L	+33.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No	63c	463.3$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.58	694	48.8%339 W · 355 L	+18.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe247…edf1backed Yes	43c	461.44$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+116.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Yes	40c	427.86$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.15	363	56.5%205 W · 158 L	+17.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No	64c	400$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145	778	55%428 W · 350 L	+23.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6865…6033backed No	62c	338.25$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.53	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdccf…faeabacked No	64c	315$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.4	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.19per pick	41cpaid	+156.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes	33c	303.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	77	55.8%43 W · 34 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes	27c	301.34$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.91	314	30.3%95 W · 219 L	-15.9wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No	64c	300$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	50	58%29 W · 21 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5d3…6b98backed Yes	39c	296.82$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.76	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.26per pick	58cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Yes	35c	285.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Yes	25c	269.7$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.25	91	52.7%48 W · 43 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Yes	40c	269.6$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.84	82	45.1%37 W · 45 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa8f…14d1backed Yes	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed No	63c	244.16$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.32	184	49.5%91 W · 93 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01db…2922backed Yes	17c	176.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	20cpaid	+98.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	40c	172.54$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.92	1,114	35.8%399 W · 715 L	-13.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes	40c	154.04$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.03	2,473	33.9%839 W · 1,634 L	-95.0wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-25%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes	13c	150$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No	64c	149.43$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.79	66	39.4%26 W · 40 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-24%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2659…e15abacked Yes	34c	147.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-3.2wins	-0.39per pick	52cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Yes	35c	142.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.92	65	52.3%34 W · 31 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No	61c	140$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.6	164	43.9%72 W · 92 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked No	63c	139.8$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.42	20	60%12 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes	36c	138.8$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	171	53.8%92 W · 79 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed No	62c	133.58$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.47	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No	61c	127.25$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.63	197	36%71 W · 126 L	+9.3wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No	64c	118.75$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.75	28	85.7%24 W · 4 L	+6.4wins	+0.23per pick	63cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed No	71c	113.91$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.03	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes	35c	110.84$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.79	80	23.8%19 W · 61 L	-6.7wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	60	30%18 W · 42 L	-5.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c3b…07c9backed No	79c	97.74$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.15	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-8.0wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes	36c	97.22$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	109	48.6%53 W · 56 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No	65c	96.7$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.1	1,033	46.1%476 W · 557 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed No	62c	85$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.3	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	56c	79.37$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.92	793	54.2%430 W · 363 L	+17.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No	70c	70.74$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.22	299	59.5%178 W · 121 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	41c	67.29$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.59	116	50.9%59 W · 57 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes	39c	65$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.35	318	42.1%134 W · 184 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No	73c	64.51$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.51	852	60.9%519 W · 333 L	+29.5wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes	38c	59.38$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.67	655	49.8%326 W · 329 L	+13.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No	74c	58$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.22	535	64.7%346 W · 189 L	+29.1wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbef0…69c8backed Yes	32c	52.84$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-15%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86d0…904ebacked Yes	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes	39c	43.63$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	74	35.1%26 W · 48 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed No	58c	41.71$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.52	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	71cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes	34c	39.98$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.53	451	35.9%162 W · 289 L	-19.7wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No	57c	36.94$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.84	638	57.2%365 W · 273 L	+35.3wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Yes	37c	35.14$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Yes	36c	33.48$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.16	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c97…5c66backed Yes	40c	32.43$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.97	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb41e…db27backed No	64c	31.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	+2.8wins	+0.12per pick	59cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd22…430ebacked No	65c	30.77$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.77	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf1…7cb7backed No	59c	25.17$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.32	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	61cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed No	64c	25$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-5.9wins	-0.13per pick	57cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x9ead…f0fbbacked No	58c	24.41$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.25	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+56.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e33…e44ebacked No	58c	24.41$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.25	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+56.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd417…77babacked No	65c	23.08$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.08	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c60…1129backed Yes	44c	22.98$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.11	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No	64c	22.32$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.04	29	69%20 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	68cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca1f…d282backed No	61c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.8	44	79.5%35 W · 9 L	+8.0wins	+0.18per pick	61cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No	57c	19.33$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.33	441	56%247 W · 194 L	+22.7wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fe8…3f2cbacked No	62c	19$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.22	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed No	64c	15.88$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.65	43	62.8%27 W · 16 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce8a…189fbacked No	64c	15.63$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.63	21	76.2%16 W · 5 L	+2.4wins	+0.12per pick	65cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will FC Spartak Trnava win on 2026-07-22?this page
Will FC Spartak Trnava vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia end in a draw?Yes won
Will FK CSKA 1948 Sofia win on 2026-07-22?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will FC Spartak Trnava win on 2026-07-22?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event