TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$544,055
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$586,419

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $544,055 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked No54c90,341$48,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,831.531136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04d5…66d8backed Yes48c36,128$17,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,786.655650%28 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes62c32,922$20,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,501.6749136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes75c28,115$21,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,925.988,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes49c20,394$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,393.922864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed No2c20,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No5c18,095$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.65,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes56c16,653$9,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,384.8428940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed No50c14,955$7,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,425.693073.3%22 W · 8 L+7.0wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+55.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No19c11,502$2,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,227.4613748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No8c9,386$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.593,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No52c9,000$4,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,659.9817049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No52c8,317$4,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,350.511,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes71c7,986$5,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,331.8610933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed No48c7,380$3,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,523.074254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked No52c6,500$3,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3757244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No52c6,363$3,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,334.561,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No2c6,277$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3714530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked No3c6,132$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.676412.5%8 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No51c5,013$2,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,563.033,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes46c4,422$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,402.21,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes46c4,157$1,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,257.7612737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked No41c4,042$1,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+43.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked No54c4,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.987950.6%40 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Yes47c3,877$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.033941%16 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked No30c3,448$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.484626.1%12 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc1…c168backed No51c3,090$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.940%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes49c3,061$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.2211855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed No33c2,775$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.111039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes46c2,768$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.119447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No49c2,713$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.751749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed No6c2,697$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.116339.7%25 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes52c2,634$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.471,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Yes72c2,563$1,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.72416.7%4 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-77.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes51c2,495$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.64862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No49c2,495$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.395543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes46c2,299$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.31,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.665837.9%22 W · 36 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No51c2,117$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.981,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes51c2,091$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.8310846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No47c2,004$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.896350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No53c2,001$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.274431.8%14 W · 30 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-34.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Yes51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9801258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7dc…21b9backed No53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed No29c1,918$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.22254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked No47c1,635$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-30.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked No32c1,562$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.997925.3%20 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ef5…fc37backed Yes45c1,507$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.852352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes47c1,435$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.31758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Yes51c1,427$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.523458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes51c1,377$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.5255250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked No47c1,372$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.73450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes62c1,323$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.412,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes62c1,227$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.2835046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No51c1,224$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.1616160.9%98 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8608…8b76backed No51c1,220$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes47c1,209$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.533821.1%8 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes47c1,174$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.831,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes46c1,074$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.6227855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed Yes49c1,072$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.692536%9 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No41c1,032$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.3226835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Yes45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5506243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes47c1,000$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53521366.7%142 W · 71 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed No54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.993756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed No32c960.15$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.257723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No13c927.1$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.881,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x584a…8b8abacked No25c881.62$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.731643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes45c800.09$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.8320846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes49c760$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.82441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked Yes72c759.36$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.171353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed No52c740$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.84346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Yes58c738.85$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.3916051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed No52c719.61$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.469551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Yes74c703.45$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.4121538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4421252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Yes50c692.05$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.038660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No51c620.89$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.311,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes65c608.53$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.1250643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6797…e0e5backed Yes49c608.22$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.192564%16 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes49c606.08$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.112541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad84…dcf1backed No55c585.91$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.251070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes70c568.99$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.851945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b18…577ebacked Yes52c528.03$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.34714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-72.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes45c512.77$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.026759.7%40 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Yes49c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.21637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed No2c510$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1410128.7%29 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd59…da8ebacked No50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes48c490.77$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Yes48c460$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes46c410.58$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9778756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes47c402$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.723852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x943c…1d17backed No51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c91…b4d2backed Yes49c392.77$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.311060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Yes51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.164450%22 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes46c384$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.3617951.4%92 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No46c370$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.29925.3%25 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes48c368.75$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.9515651.9%81 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91c7…808fbacked Yes69c356.01$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.362268.2%15 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No51c345.54$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.487856.4%44 W · 34 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc13…cbcabacked No11c326.82$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.