South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa092f083f8af6f8f4048690c2cc243c85fafda60c841bb06d7f383d41ce5dbc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8397…a04dbacked Yes | 1c | 9,999$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 4,883$3,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.12 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 30c | 3,766$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.68 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 2,909$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.21 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 2,727$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.38 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 1,862$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.34 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 1,775$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.87 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 4c | 1,345$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,042$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 69c | 676.19$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 627.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.78 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 6c | 498.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 465.63$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.08 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 7c | 399.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 71c | 350.1$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.53 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed No | 72c | 308.33$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 11c | 259.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 20c | 239.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked No | 72c | 226$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Yes | 20c | 198.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 28c | 159.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 69c | 140$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 29c | 129$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed No | 70c | 98.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 30c | 84.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 24c | 83.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 28c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 31c | 50.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…b109backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Yes | 22c | 49.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 29c | 47.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 31c | 41.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 71c | 35.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 25.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb069…9568backed No | 69c | 15.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?this page
- Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-07-22?No won
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.