MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeb80ed28a302a07a9e8e9b5d39ae9342f59ccfd4ea76de7fa1a845f0483ca4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof San Francisco Giants, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $312,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $318,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 330 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 54,562$28,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,644.11 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Kansas City Royals | 54c | 35,684$19,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,528.46 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Francisco Giants | 21c | 29,651$6,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,155 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants | 37c | 18,811$7,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,036.64 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 16,175$7,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,485.31 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 74c | 15,497$11,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990.26 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 15,280$8,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,876 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 14,041$6,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,445.03 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 11,003$5,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,141.58 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 10,754$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.98 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…6209backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 10,150$4,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,669 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 9,436$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,434.92 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed San Francisco Giants | 34c | 8,584$2,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,915.55 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals | 80c | 8,148$6,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.9 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 6,510$3,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,932.17 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 5,690$3,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,617.52 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 5,227$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,811.38 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…89aabacked San Francisco Giants | 53c | 5,183$2,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.08 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 4,695$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.65 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Francisco Giants | 30c | 4,528$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.45 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed San Francisco Giants | 13c | 4,036$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.62 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked San Francisco Giants | 3c | 3,200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed San Francisco Giants | 3c | 3,200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed San Francisco Giants | 3c | 3,200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 69 | 7.2%5 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 3,190$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.48 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 2,899$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.32 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 2,849$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.31 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 2,740$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.48 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 2,604$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 2,595$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.15 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked San Francisco Giants | 2c | 2,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed San Francisco Giants | 2c | 2,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed San Francisco Giants | 2c | 2,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 2,388$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.56 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 2,358$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.49 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 2,048$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.32 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 2,042$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.08 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked San Francisco Giants | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 61c | 1,695$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.83 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 1,686$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.58 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 1,413$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.82 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 1,359$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.76 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants | 19c | 1,194$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 1,129$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.37 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 973.67$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.28 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 899.91$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.63 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed San Francisco Giants | 25c | 831.37$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.3 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…f0a6backed San Francisco Giants | 12c | 796.25$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 775.07$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.2 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed San Francisco Giants | 28c | 707.14$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…0ea8backed San Francisco Giants | 4c | 700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 57 | 7%4 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +83%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…5e5ebacked San Francisco Giants | 4c | 700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe176…0f99backed San Francisco Giants | 8c | 661.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 653.49$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.49 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 647.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 589.75$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.28 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 573$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.31 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 531.4$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 321 | 66.4%213 W · 108 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.93 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked San Francisco Giants | 16c | 472.81$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.65 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked San Francisco Giants | 25c | 464.08$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.86 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed San Francisco Giants | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 449.48$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.19 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 447$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.56 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 435$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe3…c19abacked Kansas City Royals | 54c | 430.67$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.02 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 428.11$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.65 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fe…4a05backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 415.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.09 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 380.59$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.92 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Kansas City Royals | 80c | 326.75$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Kansas City Royals | 75c | 306.86$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.06 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed San Francisco Giants | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 300$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.1 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Kansas City Royals | 80c | 281$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 270$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 264.66$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.58 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Kansas City Royals | 75c | 254.34$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Kansas City Royals | 78c | 251.38$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 243.61$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.06 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 239$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 225$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf809…b391backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 220$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +213.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed San Francisco Giants | 15c | 218$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 212.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c89…57b7backed Kansas City Royals | 76c | 204.15$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 130 | 76.2%99 W · 31 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Kansas City Royals | 70c | 198.85$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City RoyalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.