Tennis · resolved market
Oeiras 3: Elmer Moeller vs Nicolas Jarry
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x352f35eefae0702fb7502b07a8dbcafa9349b66604e95340078be351e813224b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nicolas Jarryof Elmer Moeller, Nicolas Jarry
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Elmer Moeller | 27c | 6,608$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.05 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Nicolas Jarry | 62c | 4,842$2,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.88 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Nicolas Jarry | 68c | 3,010$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.58 | 204 | 59.3%121 W · 83 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Elmer Moeller | 37c | 2,315$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.43 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Elmer Moeller | 21c | 1,863$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.15 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Elmer Moeller | 26c | 1,698$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.46 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Nicolas Jarry | 77c | 1,282$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.96 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Elmer Moeller | 22c | 1,263$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.09 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nicolas Jarry | 71c | 1,216$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.6 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Elmer Moeller | 39c | 1,168$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.23 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Elmer Moeller | 40c | 1,050$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.93 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Elmer Moeller | 40c | 999.95$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.98 | 294 | 44.2%130 W · 164 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nicolas Jarry | 59c | 894.18$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.89 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Elmer Moeller | 18c | 785.81$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.32 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Elmer Moeller | 41c | 705.8$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.38 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Elmer Moeller | 25c | 493.34$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.38 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Nicolas Jarry | 69c | 490.7$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.12 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Elmer Moeller | 37c | 439.64$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.4 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Elmer Moeller | 30c | 387.76$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.17 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Elmer Moeller | 24c | 344.46$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Nicolas Jarry | 74c | 333.74$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Elmer Moeller | 15c | 329.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Elmer Moeller | 44c | 329.45$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.96 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Nicolas Jarry | 61c | 305.3$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.07 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Elmer Moeller | 21c | 301.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Nicolas Jarry | 61c | 292.98$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.26 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Elmer Moeller | 33c | 240$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…507bbacked Elmer Moeller | 42c | 232.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 181 | 33.1%60 W · 121 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Elmer Moeller | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Elmer Moeller | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 279 | 40.1%112 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Nicolas Jarry | 62c | 197.01$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Nicolas Jarry | 62c | 191.41$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Nicolas Jarry | 60c | 191$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 389 | 55.3%215 W · 174 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Nicolas Jarry | 60c | 163.11$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a65…7238backed Nicolas Jarry | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Nicolas Jarry | 61c | 160.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.96 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Nicolas Jarry | 66c | 138.91$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Elmer Moeller | 40c | 138.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Nicolas Jarry | 71c | 137.68$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Nicolas Jarry | 59c | 135.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Elmer Moeller | 36c | 131.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Elmer Moeller | 38c | 128.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 484 | 40.3%195 W · 289 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Elmer Moeller | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Nicolas Jarry | 60c | 119.59$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…ed83backed Elmer Moeller | 20c | 119$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Elmer Moeller | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Elmer Moeller | 23c | 108.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Nicolas Jarry | 60c | 107.36$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…626dbacked Elmer Moeller | 47c | 101.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Elmer Moeller | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Nicolas Jarry | 67c | 99.77$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 305 | 55.4%169 W · 136 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Nicolas Jarry | 66c | 97.78$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 768 | 53%407 W · 361 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Nicolas Jarry | 60c | 97.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Nicolas Jarry | 65c | 90.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 484 | 53.7%260 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Elmer Moeller | 21c | 85.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Elmer Moeller | 35c | 82.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…c1d0backed Elmer Moeller | 41c | 81.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Nicolas Jarry | 62c | 76.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 501 | 56.1%281 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Nicolas Jarry | 62c | 76.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 184 | 59.8%110 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Nicolas Jarry | 62c | 76.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Nicolas Jarry | 60c | 74.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Nicolas Jarry | 61c | 73.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 630 | 52.4%330 W · 300 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Nicolas Jarry | 61c | 73.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 284 | 54.9%156 W · 128 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Nicolas Jarry | 61c | 73.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Nicolas Jarry | 62c | 69.38$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Nicolas Jarry | 60c | 66.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…72efbacked Elmer Moeller | 43c | 65.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 387 | 54.3%210 W · 177 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…f35cbacked Nicolas Jarry | 61c | 64.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Elmer Moeller | 34c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Nicolas Jarry | 59c | 62.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Elmer Moeller | 39c | 60.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Nicolas Jarry | 76c | 55.21$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Elmer Moeller | 33c | 54.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Elmer Moeller | 46c | 52.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…0e23backed Elmer Moeller | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Elmer Moeller | 40c | 48.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…ac34backed Elmer Moeller | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…4bcdbacked Elmer Moeller | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 143 | 33.6%48 W · 95 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Elmer Moeller | 39c | 47.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Elmer Moeller | 41c | 47.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8161…e08ebacked Nicolas Jarry | 60c | 46.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Nicolas Jarry | 60c | 45.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Nicolas Jarry | 60c | 43.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 643 | 58.8%378 W · 265 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Nicolas Jarry | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 230 | 57%131 W · 99 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Nicolas Jarry | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 314 | 63.1%198 W · 116 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Nicolas Jarry | 62c | 40.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 572 | 67.3%385 W · 187 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Nicolas Jarry | 58c | 38.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…239cbacked Nicolas Jarry | 57c | 37.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed Nicolas Jarry | 60c | 36.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…adddbacked Nicolas Jarry | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 153 | 74.5%114 W · 39 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Nicolas Jarry | 65c | 35.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Nicolas Jarry | 65c | 35.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60a2…7a1fbacked Nicolas Jarry | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 184 | 78.8%145 W · 39 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5344…9dbdbacked Nicolas Jarry | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…3f92backed Nicolas Jarry | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 224 | 82.6%185 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 80cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Elmer Moeller | 38c | 31.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Nicolas Jarry | 60c | 29.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3b…2a88backed Nicolas Jarry | 60c | 29.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Nicolas Jarry | 53c | 29.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 217 | 42.9%93 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9855…b244backed Elmer Moeller | 43c | 28.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oeiras 3: Elmer Moeller vs Nicolas Jarrythis page
- Elmer Moeller vs. Nicolas Jarry: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.