Fifa International · resolved market
Will Honduras win on 2026-03-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab1e7df3ca30c0c18d925e789b550b42b52d1be5febedf29f49fe0542f8c2cc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 7c | 3,416$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.06 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,661$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.77 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 1,287$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.16 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 18c | 1,241$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.48 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 22c | 483.42$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.85 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8268…8534backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 80c | 451.1$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.22 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0df5…a632backed Yes | 18c | 337.53$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 38c | 299.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x148e…9a62backed Yes | 18c | 295.93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 285.21$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 20c | 237.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 74c | 231.68$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7912…2c47backed Yes | 18c | 202.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf52…555ebacked Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 26c | 149.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 62c | 113.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…e532backed Yes | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 80c | 94.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 285 | 45.3%129 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 74c | 86.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 71c | 67.26$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 63.82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…b5f2backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…b2f7backed No | 80c | 60.54$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 31.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 74c | 27.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed No | 65c | 15.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf962…5cb1backed No | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Honduras win on 2026-03-31?this page
- Will Peru vs. Honduras end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Peru win on 2026-03-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.