Fifa International · resolved market
Will Peru vs. Honduras end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2145555237c134a8af2d4d4ff04a3cafe5df73fdb63ddff17bf74f3413b1b3b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 3c | 3,563$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.15 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 16c | 652.76$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.65 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfc…7f6bbacked No | 5c | 580.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 17c | 460$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.85 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 15c | 444.09$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.26 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 45c | 318.95$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.44 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 37c | 318.26$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.61 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 25c | 260.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.98 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 36c | 256.88$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.29 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 30c | 221.2$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.29 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 70c | 190.09$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.06 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 70c | 130.58$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 74c | 110.37$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.57 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 18c | 100.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.06 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 17c | 85.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.46 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 70c | 80.86$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 71c | 80.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 71.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 70c | 69.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 57c | 67.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 30c | 61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed No | 31c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 65c | 59.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 281 | 48.4%136 W · 145 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 25c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -67%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 30c | 40.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 68c | 39.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…00afbacked Yes | 30c | 39.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5c…2775backed No | 71c | 34.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 64c | 30.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…61d1backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 70c | 27.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd6…a39cbacked Yes | 52c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd10…32e8backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +70%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Peru vs. Honduras end in a draw?this page
- Will Honduras win on 2026-03-31?No won
- Will Peru win on 2026-03-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.