MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x204134121a644390e552de94a8b3677fc61acf3d8992b89d836cf7a8d9e09197
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof Kansas City Royals, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $497,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $518,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $497,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 55c | 50,102$27,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,401.54 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 47,540$25,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,196.44 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 44,459$19,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,117.55 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Mets | 57c | 36,000$20,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,479.98 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 32,634$14,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,358.91 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets | 48c | 29,028$14,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,972.56 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed Kansas City Royals | 10c | 27,478$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 21,511$9,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,223.07 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed New York Mets | 77c | 16,408$12,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,830.04 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed New York Mets | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,250 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 56c | 13,869$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,091.94 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 13,216$5,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,682.88 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked New York Mets | 56c | 9,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,959.99 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 8,409$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,074.66 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…6002backed Kansas City Royals | 12c | 8,297$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets | 57c | 7,716$4,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,318.07 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets | 62c | 7,431$4,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,843.36 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 57c | 5,656$3,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.23 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 70c | 5,276$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.74 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked New York Mets | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Kansas City Royals | 0c | 4,911$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 4,883$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.27 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 4,369$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets | 47c | 3,679$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.7 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Mets | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 3,449$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.33 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 3,023$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked New York Mets | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.06 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 75c | 2,391$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.7 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked New York Mets | 56c | 2,240$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.6 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Kansas City Royals | 32c | 2,188$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed New York Mets | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets | 56c | 1,820$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Kansas City Royals | 1c | 1,800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 1,652$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.88 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 1,624$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.37 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 57c | 1,517$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.57 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 1,234$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.02 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked New York Mets | 40c | 1,191$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.37 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Kansas City Royals | 2c | 1,116$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Mets | 56c | 1,024$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.56 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed New York Mets | 54c | 1,018$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.67 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 1,014$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed Kansas City Royals | 2c | 1,010$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 1.5%1 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked New York Mets | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kansas City Royals | 21c | 999.38$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.47 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed New York Mets | 57c | 975$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.58 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 892$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.56 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed New York Mets | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets | 60c | 761.92$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.54 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed New York Mets | 64c | 759.06$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.26 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 650$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Mets | 66c | 569.24$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.33 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 544.45$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.65 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Mets | 57c | 535.02$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.05 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 522.42$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.74 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed New York Mets | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Mets | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed New York Mets | 58c | 500$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked New York Mets | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a5…6f1fbacked New York Mets | 56c | 468.98$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 466$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.38 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 465$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets | 56c | 395.5$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.02 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed New York Mets | 47c | 375.45$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.75 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…26d7backed New York Mets | 57c | 344.82$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 321.37$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.54 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdec…e0e7backed New York Mets | 56c | 320$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed New York Mets | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…4090backed New York Mets | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Kansas City Royals | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…6199backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 275.46$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.75 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed New York Mets | 75c | 263.6$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…f8c3backed New York Mets | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked New York Mets | 57c | 261$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.23 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 260$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…705fbacked New York Mets | 57c | 257$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.51 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked New York Mets | 56c | 254.64$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.06 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 253.49$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 238.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed New York Mets | 60c | 233.13$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.87 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 232.05$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…db95backed New York Mets | 57c | 229$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.47 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked New York Mets | 57c | 228$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked New York Mets | 72c | 225.08$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9be…08bebacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed New York Mets | 58c | 220.04$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.35 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked New York Mets | 57c | 210$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f9…3dcabacked New York Mets | 45c | 209.58$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…0dbbbacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 202.04$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 200.1$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.04 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd335…fe54backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 187.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed New York Mets | 58c | 181.55$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Metsthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-4.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.