MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2657cb209211d20092c8db9c19191cfe1f855572e8cfcda3cd12a59e481e99cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $297,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $298,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 53c | 188,888$100,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,110.64 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,000 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Under | 54c | 70,701$38,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,178.49 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Over | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,499.99 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Over | 46c | 45,000$20,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,300 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 47c | 16,145$7,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,556.69 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 46c | 10,787$5,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,780.7 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 8,975$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,775.58 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 52c | 7,804$4,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,730.95 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 7,078$3,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,556.85 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 47c | 6,706$3,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,587 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Under | 50c | 5,046$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.05 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 43c | 4,000$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.05 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 54c | 3,703$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.76 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 47c | 3,330$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.97 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 48c | 3,261$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.2 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 3,237$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.41 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 2,712$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.96 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 47c | 2,145$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.8 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 2,133$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.6 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 47c | 1,776$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.28 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 53c | 1,244$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.47 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 65c | 1,212$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.52 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 46c | 1,150$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.51 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 46c | 1,024$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.96 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 52c | 971.5$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.74 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c6…59efbacked Over | 47c | 829.66$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 46c | 652.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 59c | 530$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.98 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 47c | 509.68$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.13 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 47c | 488.45$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.88 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Under | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 46c | 462.83$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.93 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 48c | 439.46$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.98 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 46c | 380.91$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.69 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 37c | 358.16$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.37 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 61c | 353.33$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.11 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 352.37$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.28 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Over | 47c | 349.84$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.42 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Over | 48c | 322.33$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.61 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Over | 47c | 319.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.59 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 308.01$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.64 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…68f7backed Under | 61c | 288.69$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.8 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Over | 72c | 270.81$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.81 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 54c | 249.25$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.65 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 41c | 200$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966f…5cdcbacked Under | 54c | 185.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 47c | 181$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.93 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 53c | 175$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 57c | 169$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.9 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 46c | 158.3$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.17 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0c…7794backed Under | 50c | 146.9$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 146$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Under | 52c | 120$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 47c | 102$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 423 | 55.6%235 W · 188 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +119.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 53c | 99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…2581backed Under | 51c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 78c | 90.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 48c | 76.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.63 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under | 60c | 72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f5…97b2backed Under | 53c | 61.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 47c | 60.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 31c | 60.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Over | 47c | 51.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebd…7fd4backed Over | 40c | 50.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…9ac2backed Under | 50c | 38.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 53c | 37.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 68c | 35.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 53c | 32.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 49c | 28.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 53c | 24.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 53c | 22.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…8e0cbacked Under | 54c | 21.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York MetsNew York Mets won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-4.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.