Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x785ea9bfe52d0b48b7395917248a2b2e7495de3117472a2f8a3d17abbe16684a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $512,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $580,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $512,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 344 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed MOUZ | 61c | 51,038$30,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,095.05 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Nemesis | 67c | 25,451$16,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,998.72 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 22,033$8,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,771.18 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Nemesis | 33c | 18,255$5,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,969.04 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked MOUZ | 66c | 17,647$11,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,081.86 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Nemesis | 34c | 17,370$5,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,888.17 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 11,392$4,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,694.76 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 47c | 10,932$5,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,749.04 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MOUZ | 53c | 10,607$5,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,948.93 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 50c | 10,000$5,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,976.64 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ | 47c | 9,968$4,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,234.14 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Nemesis | 43c | 9,381$4,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,018 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 8,813$3,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,576.14 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed MOUZ | 55c | 7,415$4,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300.28 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Nemesis | 39c | 7,250$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.48 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed MOUZ | 66c | 6,840$4,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.05 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe44…05d9backed Team Nemesis | 30c | 6,699$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Nemesis | 38c | 6,662$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.69 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…01f4backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 6,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 5,187$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.74 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed MOUZ | 51c | 5,154$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.96 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ | 61c | 4,503$2,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.17 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 4,448$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513.6 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 57c | 4,213$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.45 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked MOUZ | 68c | 4,160$2,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.2 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Team Nemesis | 40c | 4,106$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.26 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Nemesis | 37c | 3,858$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.79 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…2e5fbacked MOUZ | 35c | 3,705$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.61 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed MOUZ | 61c | 3,533$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.04 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 3,400$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.75 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 3,388$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.01 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 3,321$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.11 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed MOUZ | 61c | 3,276$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.28 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Team Nemesis | 31c | 3,200$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Team Nemesis | 37c | 3,038$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.45 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Team Nemesis | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed MOUZ | 75c | 3,000$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.5 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ | 64c | 2,981$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.33 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked MOUZ | 72c | 2,778$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.78 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed MOUZ | 78c | 2,756$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 62c | 2,711$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.98 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed MOUZ | 67c | 2,700$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked MOUZ | 72c | 2,640$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.2 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…72e7backed MOUZ | 62c | 2,583$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.84 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed MOUZ | 63c | 2,505$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.53 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.99 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed MOUZ | 54c | 2,376$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.36 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Nemesis | 31c | 2,255$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Nemesis | 41c | 2,249$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.09 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…5ecfbacked Team Nemesis | 30c | 2,239$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.77 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed MOUZ | 65c | 2,223$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.17 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked MOUZ | 57c | 2,208$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.61 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 2,162$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -9.9wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Team Nemesis | 43c | 2,134$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.56 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed MOUZ | 67c | 2,118$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.94 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Nemesis | 30c | 2,100$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.98 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24c…3f33backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 2,029$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Team Nemesis | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed MOUZ | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Team Nemesis | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 2,000$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.15 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MOUZ | 63c | 1,908$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.74 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked MOUZ | 56c | 1,765$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.46 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 1,594$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.88 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed MOUZ | 74c | 1,564$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.05 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed MOUZ | 63c | 1,561$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.34 | 241 | 54.8%132 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Nemesis | 37c | 1,530$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.43 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Team Nemesis | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed MOUZ | 70c | 1,500$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.39 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed MOUZ | 59c | 1,469$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.29 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…c200backed MOUZ | 69c | 1,440$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 1,417$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.31 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Team Nemesis | 31c | 1,406$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.76 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed MOUZ | 54c | 1,399$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.66 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 1,397$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.05 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc1…c26bbacked MOUZ | 74c | 1,341$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bf…a172backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 1,283$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.5 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed Team Nemesis | 49c | 1,258$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.31 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Nemesis | 6c | 1,250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Team Nemesis | 33c | 1,163$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.92 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 1,152$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.14 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed MOUZ | 70c | 1,138$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.4 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 1,115$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.15 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe39c…71c4backed MOUZ | 71c | 1,112$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed MOUZ | 60c | 1,104$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.38 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked MOUZ | 69c | 1,100$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed MOUZ | 69c | 1,078$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.18 | 63 | 74.6%47 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked MOUZ | 62c | 1,072$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.38 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked MOUZ | 57c | 1,056$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.44 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2776…4ecbbacked MOUZ | 57c | 1,049$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.93 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed MOUZ | 60c | 1,041$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.31 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 1,035$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.27 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked MOUZ | 68c | 1,034$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.2 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5789…6407backed MOUZ | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 1,013$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.73 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 1,008$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.97 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed MOUZ | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Team Nemesis | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 1,000$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.