Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x868d295d9e0d6f777b7f4e6abb45f5d02e2f0281bb12b857f6375f7ecc8c91e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof MOUZ, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $745,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $892,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $745,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 440 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed MOUZ | 63c | 37,151$23,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,335.26 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Nemesis | 38c | 26,750$10,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,704.91 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 20,863$7,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,239.57 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 49c | 19,117$9,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,391.66 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked MOUZ | 79c | 14,828$11,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,695.95 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed MOUZ | 79c | 14,209$11,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,281.29 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed MOUZ | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.99 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Nemesis | 32c | 7,263$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,968.56 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed MOUZ | 78c | 7,247$5,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,685.34 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…2e5fbacked Team Nemesis | 28c | 7,210$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,209.71 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked MOUZ | 51c | 7,050$3,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,625.06 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Nemesis | 31c | 6,285$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,351.79 | 410 | 42.4%174 W · 236 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Nemesis | 41c | 5,468$2,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,229.76 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 5,454$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,316.36 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Nemesis | 24c | 5,319$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,019.01 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Nemesis | 40c | 5,319$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.99 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed MOUZ | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.99 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed MOUZ | 75c | 4,928$3,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,711.75 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed MOUZ | 59c | 4,607$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.65 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Nemesis | 43c | 4,596$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.31 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ | 70c | 4,404$3,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,076.69 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 4,293$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.81 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Nemesis | 21c | 4,278$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,392.94 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…72e7backed MOUZ | 59c | 4,128$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416.55 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 4,112$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.95 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Team Nemesis | 27c | 4,075$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,987.63 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Nemesis | 29c | 3,538$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,494.75 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed MOUZ | 73c | 3,533$2,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.45 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Team Nemesis | 28c | 3,448$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.42 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 3,376$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.28 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Nemesis | 39c | 3,221$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.33 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed MOUZ | 79c | 3,164$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.56 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Nemesis | 33c | 3,061$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.61 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Team Nemesis | 65c | 3,002$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.81 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed MOUZ | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Nemesis | 28c | 2,850$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe44…05d9backed MOUZ | 71c | 2,806$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 2,790$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.96 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed MOUZ | 73c | 2,753$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 2,739$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.39 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked MOUZ | 80c | 2,686$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.99 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Team Nemesis | 53c | 2,584$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.32 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 2,573$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.42 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed MOUZ | 63c | 2,550$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.47 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed MOUZ | 78c | 2,500$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 2,493$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.04 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Nemesis | 23c | 2,267$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.47 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Nemesis | 43c | 2,234$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.62 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Team Nemesis | 45c | 2,225$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed Team Nemesis | 45c | 2,179$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.4 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed MOUZ | 78c | 2,059$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed MOUZ | 33c | 2,046$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.94 | 241 | 54.8%132 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed MOUZ | 51c | 2,038$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.99 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed MOUZ | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed MOUZ | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed MOUZ | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed MOUZ | 36c | 2,000$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.86 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.98 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df4…153cbacked Team Nemesis | 64c | 1,989$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.95 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 1,981$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.24 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked MOUZ | 43c | 1,960$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.4 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Nemesis | 30c | 1,953$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.8 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed Team Nemesis | 27c | 1,950$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.68 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -9.9wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Nemesis | 48c | 1,935$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.22 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…d7dbbacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 1,921$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.69 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Nemesis | 41c | 1,800$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.6 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed Team Nemesis | 39c | 1,779$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.71 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…79b6backed MOUZ | 79c | 1,776$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed MOUZ | 45c | 1,747$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.12 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…b615backed MOUZ | 64c | 1,743$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.59 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked MOUZ | 49c | 1,705$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.7 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked Team Nemesis | 51c | 1,653$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.23 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed MOUZ | 80c | 1,646$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.34 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked MOUZ | 73c | 1,586$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked MOUZ | 69c | 1,579$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.19 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5789…6407backed Team Nemesis | 25c | 1,543$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.53 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 73c | 1,516$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.04 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed MOUZ | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Nemesis | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 692 | 35.3%244 W · 448 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed MOUZ | 54c | 1,470$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.39 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Nemesis | 64c | 1,462$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.82 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed MOUZ | 61c | 1,403$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.84 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed Team Nemesis | 27c | 1,400$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.33 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4620…ea85backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 1,370$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.8 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 1,354$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.17 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf071…04d6backed Team Nemesis | 30c | 1,350$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.99 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked MOUZ | 61c | 1,286$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.37 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…61e9backed MOUZ | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 1,271$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.17 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked MOUZ | 64c | 1,265$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.47 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed MOUZ | 61c | 1,216$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.58 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 1,153$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.81 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 1,139$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.45 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Nemesis | 23c | 1,123$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.93 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed MOUZ | 3c | 1,100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked MOUZ | 72c | 1,091$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.46 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed MOUZ | 62c | 1,067$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.81 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked MOUZ | 72c | 1,000$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…1ee8backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 999.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.