MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f3df60add7c6124d7fe8f0a8c166b0cf750daf50b813fd95c594f1da328c2e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Kansas City Royals, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 44,444$18,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,222.03 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 25,653$15,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,487.02 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 16,343$9,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,537.33 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 15,000$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,149.98 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 13,181$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,404.36 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 7,500$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 5,240$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.99 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 5,036$2,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.75 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 4,799$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.58 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 4,682$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.27 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kansas City Royals | 19c | 3,716$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.77 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Kansas City Royals | 5c | 3,143$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.13 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 23c | 2,656$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.89 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 2,465$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.62 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 1,769$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.27 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…a5eebacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 1,700$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 1,367$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.26 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 1,365$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 1,148$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.02 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 1,138$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 1,128$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.87 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 825.74$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.8 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 716.74$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.86 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 599.88$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.95 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals | 21c | 590.14$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.61 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 12c | 587.57$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…19b8backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 515.14$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef6…01a9backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 514.77$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.43 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…7e9abacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 427.41$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.24 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 400.16$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.07 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 394.79$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.02 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 365.5$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.51 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 352.72$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.61 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Kansas City Royals | 22c | 352.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 299.58$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.83 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…27c3backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 297.87$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.15 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 254.88$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Baltimore Orioles | 70c | 249.98$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 242$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.54 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…efddbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 230$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 230$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27bd…5452backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 222.63$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.59 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 204.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 198.45$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 191$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.22 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Kansas City Royals | 12c | 189.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Kansas City Royals | 25c | 167.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9be…08bebacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 137.63$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…0dbbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Kansas City Royals | 32c | 134.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 74c | 134.22$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 55 | 76.4%42 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c85…9634backed Baltimore Orioles | 74c | 119.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Kansas City Royals | 23c | 107.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Kansas City Royals | 28c | 95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Kansas City Royals | 26c | 92.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 92.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…099fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 87.6$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Baltimore Orioles | 75c | 85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…31ecbacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc085…c837backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 78.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Kansas City Royals | 30c | 73.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 193 | 56.5%109 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 72.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 94 | 9.6%9 W · 85 L | -30.9wins | -0.33per pick | 42cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 21-0.26 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed Kansas City Royals | 28c | 71.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 15.2%16 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…0b64backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 203 | 57.1%116 W · 87 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 66.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…c664backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 59.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | -46.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8648…7072backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 57.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 372 | 43.8%163 W · 209 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 54.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 53.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 53.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 51.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…b2f7backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…10e8backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9575…cd83backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 47.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Kansas City Royals | 28c | 45.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…16c9backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 42.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc6…1a49backed Baltimore Orioles | 69c | 42.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -10.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…7398backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 655 | 42.4%278 W · 377 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2add…0cfdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 39.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 99 | 28.3%28 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 447 | 50.6%226 W · 221 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Baltimore Orioles | 70c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 536 | 39.9%214 W · 322 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.