MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53488dada2f70267524c9cbd7b7ccfda9db11a47e109d896c4954e29faf632a3

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Washington Nationals
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,124,817
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,145,035

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,124,817 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 427 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x408f…b2f4backed New York Yankees	60c	166,705$100,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66,705.49	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69c5…1e01backed New York Yankees	61c	163,585$100,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63,585.37	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+10%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals	38c	120,618$46,428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46,427.5	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Nationals	39c	55,559$21,677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,676.75	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Washington Nationals	42c	47,182$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-3.4wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Nationals	40c	42,392$16,870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,870.15	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Yankees	35c	40,880$14,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,657.61	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed New York Yankees	65c	39,075$25,316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,759.39	232	55.6%129 W · 103 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Washington Nationals	33c	33,784$11,149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,148.85	435	54%235 W · 200 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed New York Yankees	66c	29,324$19,409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,915.12	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-3.8wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals	31c	21,723$6,722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,721.9	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed New York Yankees	59c	20,000$11,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,300	981	49.9%490 W · 491 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals	42c	18,517$7,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,777	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees	47c	18,193$8,512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,681.25	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals	47c	15,652$7,343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,343.28	950	45.2%429 W · 521 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals	40c	15,003$6,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,039.74	1,456	42.7%622 W · 834 L	-39.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Nationals	36c	12,916$4,615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,615.21	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Washington Nationals	39c	12,179$4,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,749.96	291	47.1%137 W · 154 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Washington Nationals	41c	10,000$4,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,050	362	46.1%167 W · 195 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x060f…5a9dbacked Washington Nationals	67c	9,778$6,516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,515.91	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Washington Nationals	45c	8,556$3,881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,880.73	856	45.3%388 W · 468 L	+18.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Washington Nationals	40c	8,279$3,311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,311.42	14	50%7 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Washington Nationals	34c	7,738$2,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,634.86	1,043	49%511 W · 532 L	+3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals	40c	6,892$2,764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,763.91	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x335d…8c00backed Washington Nationals	25c	6,630$1,685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,684.94	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+3.1wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Washington Nationals	41c	6,000$2,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,459.97	447	49.2%220 W · 227 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb5…d57abacked New York Yankees	57c	5,728$3,269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,459.68	216	44.9%97 W · 119 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Washington Nationals	46c	5,709$2,651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,650.7	794	42.4%337 W · 457 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd599…c994backed New York Yankees	59c	5,365$3,173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,192.18	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.13per pick	60cpaid	+16%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Washington Nationals	39c	5,000$1,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,950	1,292	50.2%648 W · 644 L	+18.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals	33c	4,756$1,585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,585.19	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Washington Nationals	35c	4,538$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	1,137	42.6%484 W · 653 L	+10.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef4…e76bbacked New York Yankees	15c	4,300$651 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,649	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.85per pick	15cpaid	+560.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6903…b2edbacked New York Yankees	78c	3,604$2,819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$785.02	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	73cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Washington Nationals	19c	3,507$675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$674.82	826	36.6%302 W · 524 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Washington Nationals	41c	3,500$1,435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,435	149	38.3%57 W · 92 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees	43c	3,453$1,502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,950.96	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked New York Yankees	59c	3,390$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,389.83	84	47.6%40 W · 44 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96f8…2560backed New York Yankees	79c	3,035$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$634.64	10	90%9 W · 1 L	+2.2wins	+0.22per pick	68cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Washington Nationals	58c	2,957$1,715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,715.31	600	43.3%260 W · 340 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Washington Nationals	42c	2,791$1,172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,172.09	481	47%226 W · 255 L	-31.8wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed New York Yankees	58c	2,535$1,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,075.14	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b5d…7501backed New York Yankees	59c	2,311$1,363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$947.43	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	60cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Washington Nationals	24c	2,285$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.98	3,457	51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L	+108.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked New York Yankees	58c	2,222$1,289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$933.24	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x270c…f66fbacked Washington Nationals	3c	2,016$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.32	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+133.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals	15c	2,002$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.58	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed New York Yankees	58c	2,000$1,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840	78	52.6%41 W · 37 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed New York Yankees	67c	1,968$1,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$643.45	179	51.4%92 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Washington Nationals	41c	1,951$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	515	45.2%233 W · 282 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals	46c	1,875$856 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$856	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6840…6003backed New York Yankees	67c	1,802$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$602.35	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.15per pick	60cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees	58c	1,772$1,023 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$749.51	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Washington Nationals	15c	1,719$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.64	718	50.1%360 W · 358 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed New York Yankees	66c	1,710$1,137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572.95	979	44.4%435 W · 544 L	-22.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x835b…118fbacked Washington Nationals	29c	1,703$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.19	65	38.5%25 W · 40 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Washington Nationals	37c	1,515$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.55	694	53.6%372 W · 322 L	+14.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Washington Nationals	42c	1,500$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625.46	1,796	43.8%786 W · 1,010 L	-33.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked New York Yankees	58c	1,500$870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$630	556	53.4%297 W · 259 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Washington Nationals	41c	1,469$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602.16	752	48.8%367 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Washington Nationals	27c	1,408$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.12	777	52.1%405 W · 372 L	+36.0wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Washington Nationals	40c	1,400$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	619	47.7%295 W · 324 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf651…53a1backed New York Yankees	61c	1,332$811 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.76	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+64.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed New York Yankees	61c	1,321$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.57	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals	29c	1,305$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.77	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Washington Nationals	40c	1,233$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.2	457	48.6%222 W · 235 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Washington Nationals	30c	1,226$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.05	1,879	40.6%763 W · 1,116 L	-39.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Washington Nationals	2c	1,200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	876	2.9%25 W · 851 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed New York Yankees	66c	1,155$763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.82	158	51.9%82 W · 76 L	-12.5wins	-0.08per pick	60cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Washington Nationals	3c	1,050$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	585	2.1%12 W · 573 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Yankees	58c	1,024$594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430.08	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0099…b070backed Washington Nationals	41c	1,005$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.81	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+3.2wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Washington Nationals	41c	992$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.72	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals	37c	945.29$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.26	1,499	58.9%883 W · 616 L	+75.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed New York Yankees	58c	945.22$548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396.99	157	49.7%78 W · 79 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed New York Yankees	58c	909$527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$381.78	1,284	49.5%635 W · 649 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Washington Nationals	49c	905.87$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.05	791	47.9%379 W · 412 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Washington Nationals	20c	884.81$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.67	1,269	51.1%648 W · 621 L	+23.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed New York Yankees	58c	861$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.62	1,402	48.8%684 W · 718 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Washington Nationals	39c	820.51$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.6wins	-0.29per pick	51cpaid	-66.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Washington Nationals	33c	817.49$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.98	2,144	39.6%849 W · 1,295 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed New York Yankees	58c	800$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336	124	48.4%60 W · 64 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed New York Yankees	59c	777$458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.57	223	50.7%113 W · 110 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Washington Nationals	41c	731.71$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	95	43.2%41 W · 54 L	-6.9wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed New York Yankees	70c	714.29$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.29	145	58.6%85 W · 60 L	-10.9wins	-0.08per pick	66cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Washington Nationals	42c	714.29$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	296	56.1%166 W · 130 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44cd…473bbacked New York Yankees	72c	708.33$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.33	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	64cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…36f4backed Washington Nationals	34c	705.88$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd5a…aa7abacked Washington Nationals	43c	702.83$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Washington Nationals	40c	700$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	1,521	48.6%739 W · 782 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Washington Nationals	48c	690.72$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.91	1,121	44.1%494 W · 627 L	-32.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbbe…1f4abacked New York Yankees	58c	684.64$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.64	77	53.2%41 W · 36 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Washington Nationals	40c	673.1$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.24	2,296	49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L	+37.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00c4…e285backed New York Yankees	71c	645.66$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.66	65	64.6%42 W · 23 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe14…1394backed Washington Nationals	8c	616.67$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.33	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	28cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68b7…0812backed Washington Nationals	5c	600$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	5cpaid	+177.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Washington Nationals	34c	600$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	283	47.3%134 W · 149 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Washington Nationals	40c	586$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.32	450	45.8%206 W · 244 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked New York Yankees	65c	583.42$377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.91	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Washington Nationals	22c	567.91$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.44	1,345	47.7%642 W · 703 L	+10.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Washington NationalsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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