TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Washington Nationals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,926
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,843

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,926 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1a2f…647abacked New York Yankees44c7,242$3,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,082.682636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals58c6,860$3,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,978.5611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked New York Yankees47c6,611$3,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,503.666747.8%32 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Washington Nationals52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.9944749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Washington Nationals52c2,700$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.9723357.9%135 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed New York Yankees48c2,100$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,09220455.9%114 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees19c1,917$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.324,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecc…7850backed Washington Nationals54c1,795$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9635152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked New York Yankees47c1,100$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5836459.4%38 W · 26 L+8.9wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+30.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Yankees47c1,024$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.712,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2972…3f29backed Washington Nationals53c998.5$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.317950.6%40 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked New York Yankees47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42445748.6%222 W · 235 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea39…9d34backed Washington Nationals43c776.07$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.0413453%71 W · 63 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals52c761.78$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.135,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked New York Yankees48c731.5$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.3841051.7%212 W · 198 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0af1…1901backed Washington Nationals52c700$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3646866.2%45 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed New York Yankees47c585$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.051,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Washington Nationals53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018658.6%109 W · 77 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Washington Nationals77c553.78$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.381,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f0…fe05backed New York Yankees53c550$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.517545.7%80 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Yankees47c504$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.492,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked New York Yankees52c497.18$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.655,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce00…7d1dbacked Washington Nationals53c471.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017952.5%94 W · 85 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Washington Nationals53c471.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25028152%146 W · 135 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed New York Yankees46c471.32$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.511,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals52c404$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.096,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed New York Yankees48c393.08$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.422257.2%127 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked New York Yankees47c319.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1413345.9%61 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed New York Yankees47c286$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.582,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Washington Nationals53c283.35$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7884…1fb0backed Washington Nationals53c270.47$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.357659.2%45 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Washington Nationals53c260.43$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.0313748.2%66 W · 71 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed New York Yankees38c244.38$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.521,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b9…0a8bbacked Washington Nationals35c228$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5a…9d75backed New York Yankees18c222.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.2210515.2%16 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees48c217.29$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.82,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed New York Yankees50c210$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10517348%83 W · 90 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals69c202$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.288,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees10c200.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.538,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a49…651abacked Washington Nationals53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10623052.6%121 W · 109 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea5…26e3backed Washington Nationals53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019454.6%106 W · 88 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees49c186.34$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.918,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked New York Yankees47c177.41$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0358746%270 W · 317 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed Washington Nationals53c168$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0446854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Washington Nationals53c168$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0472154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed New York Yankees46c137$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.362,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed New York Yankees17c119.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.671,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Washington Nationals52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018248.4%88 W · 94 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed New York Yankees44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.644748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8499…950dbacked New York Yankees48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.179945.5%45 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals56c103.64$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Washington Nationals75c93.55$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1619542.6%83 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Washington Nationals53c83.16$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.453,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c85…9634backed New York Yankees47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.411956.3%67 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cab…f595backed New York Yankees38c78.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.955154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked New York Yankees51c78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.985,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x91bc…28d6backed Washington Nationals53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019754.8%108 W · 89 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b56…23b4backed New York Yankees49c74.82$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals49c71.3$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed New York Yankees48c68.77$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.763,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Washington Nationals45c68$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8157046.8%267 W · 303 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed New York Yankees19c64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.142,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d80…0180backed New York Yankees48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.58648.8%42 W · 44 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Washington Nationals75c61$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.751,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Washington Nationals52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.221656%121 W · 95 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed New York Yankees47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.873849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8cf…6b0bbacked Washington Nationals53c56.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed New York Yankees48c52.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1219540%78 W · 117 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed New York Yankees48c51.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0318855.3%104 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd18…4280backed Washington Nationals53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259153.8%49 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed New York Yankees47c46.39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.432,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ee…2d27backed New York Yankees39c41.91$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.552832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked New York Yankees41c41.27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3672655.4%402 W · 324 L+40.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Washington Nationals52c38.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.139553.7%212 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Washington Nationals52c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.245045.8%206 W · 244 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a62…5247backed New York Yankees48c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.214047.9%67 W · 73 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb6…2ea0backed New York Yankees48c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5937…cc97backed New York Yankees48c33.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.334173.2%30 W · 11 L+7.2wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+33.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed New York Yankees50c33.1$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.396,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed New York Yankees48c31.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.123360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1024…9651backed New York Yankees48c31.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1233556.1%188 W · 147 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked New York Yankees40c31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.765,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Washington Nationals51c27.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2673355.3%405 W · 328 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked New York Yankees47c25.63$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5917255.8%96 W · 76 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Washington Nationals60c21.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.751,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8766…4171backed Washington Nationals59c19.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3314351.7%74 W · 69 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Washington Nationals64c17.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.082,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.