MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d1f65e1b577d27df94412f5da6120ef9bc1e98fa82412b7b92b8738f2e204f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked New York Yankees | 44c | 7,242$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,082.6 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 58c | 6,860$3,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,978.56 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked New York Yankees | 47c | 6,611$3,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,503.66 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 2,700$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.97 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed New York Yankees | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees | 19c | 1,917$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.32 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…7850backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 1,795$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 1,024$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.71 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 998.5$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.31 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked New York Yankees | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 776.07$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.04 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 761.78$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.13 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 731.5$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.38 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed New York Yankees | 47c | 585$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.05 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Washington Nationals | 77c | 553.78$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.38 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed New York Yankees | 53c | 550$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.5 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 504$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.49 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 497.18$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.65 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed New York Yankees | 46c | 471.32$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.51 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 404$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.09 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed New York Yankees | 48c | 393.08$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.4 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked New York Yankees | 47c | 319.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.14 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed New York Yankees | 47c | 286$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.58 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 283.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7884…1fb0backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 270.47$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.35 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 260.43$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.03 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed New York Yankees | 38c | 244.38$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.52 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b9…0a8bbacked Washington Nationals | 35c | 228$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed New York Yankees | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.22 | 105 | 15.2%16 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees | 48c | 217.29$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed New York Yankees | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 69c | 202$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.28 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 10c | 200.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.53 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees | 49c | 186.34$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 177.41$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.03 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 168$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 168$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed New York Yankees | 46c | 137$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed New York Yankees | 17c | 119.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.67 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed New York Yankees | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 103.64$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Washington Nationals | 75c | 93.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.16 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 83.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c85…9634backed New York Yankees | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f595backed New York Yankees | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Yankees | 51c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…28d6backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 197 | 54.8%108 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b56…23b4backed New York Yankees | 49c | 74.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 71.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed New York Yankees | 48c | 68.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed New York Yankees | 19c | 64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…0180backed New York Yankees | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Washington Nationals | 75c | 61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed New York Yankees | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…6b0bbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 56.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed New York Yankees | 48c | 52.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed New York Yankees | 48c | 51.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…4280backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed New York Yankees | 47c | 46.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…2d27backed New York Yankees | 39c | 41.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked New York Yankees | 41c | 41.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 38.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed New York Yankees | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb6…2ea0backed New York Yankees | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…cc97backed New York Yankees | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed New York Yankees | 50c | 33.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed New York Yankees | 48c | 31.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…9651backed New York Yankees | 48c | 31.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 335 | 56.1%188 W · 147 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked New York Yankees | 40c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 27.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked New York Yankees | 47c | 25.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 21.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 19.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Washington Nationals | 64c | 17.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- New York Yankees vs. Washington NationalsNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.