MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe977a5bb87218f46c1e056bf2befa049a6431a73438f232c42d6f1fe1205242a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $260,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $261,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf438…9559backed Under | 55c | 122,210$67,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,921.82 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 48c | 66,466$32,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,000 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Under | 55c | 22,931$12,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,332.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +65%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked Over | 0c | 17,180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 16,266$7,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,242.31 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 46c | 15,303$7,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,002.85 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 45c | 12,433$5,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,594.7 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 51c | 9,704$4,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,754.92 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 44c | 6,339$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815.95 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 54c | 5,615$3,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583.02 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 5,428$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,831.68 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over | 47c | 4,840$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 45c | 4,322$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.75 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 52c | 3,397$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.38 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 46c | 3,222$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.02 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 45c | 3,084$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.37 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Under | 56c | 2,999$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.94 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 46c | 2,824$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.02 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 46c | 2,824$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.57 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 2,338$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.13 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Over | 45c | 2,274$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.3 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 45c | 1,700$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 54c | 1,622$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.12 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 1,422$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.12 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 51c | 1,275$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.51 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 53c | 1,170$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.75 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 46c | 1,086$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.53 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 46c | 1,086$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.53 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 889$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.39 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 42c | 853.14$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.9 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 46c | 837.04$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.95 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 45c | 768.81$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.23 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 46c | 643.08$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.72 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 553.43$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.11 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 476.07$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.77 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 45c | 464.47$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.19 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 457.49$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.22 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 45c | 419.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 56c | 405$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Over | 47c | 367.34$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.65 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 48c | 366.39$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.69 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 51c | 351.94$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.14 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 46c | 343.42$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.38 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 46c | 326.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Over | 46c | 312.43$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.72 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 53c | 290.86$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.91 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 47c | 208.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 51c | 199$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.51 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 47c | 160.61$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Over | 57c | 152.7$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.38 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29f…dc4ebacked Over | 47c | 148.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 46c | 140$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…62bebacked Over | 47c | 137$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 53c | 120$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 46c | 119.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 46c | 119.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 45c | 118$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 48c | 111.11$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 45c | 108$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Over | 48c | 103.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1164…f58bbacked Under | 54c | 99.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Over | 48c | 97.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Under | 54c | 94.53$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Over | 46c | 89.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 84.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…9ac2backed Over | 44c | 80.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 52c | 74.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 71.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 45c | 68.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0098…71e0backed Over | 48c | 67.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 45c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0405…2491backed Over | 46c | 59.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 46c | 50.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 29c | 44.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 46c | 43.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 52c | 42.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 62c | 41.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 54c | 39.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 45c | 38.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 44c | 38.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 45c | 34.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 35c | 33.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…4fc0backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over | 47c | 33.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Over | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. Washington NationalsNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.