South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bdf2a86e547a219592dd94458747862b6c766cf5aa736e77ee0008cf1074737
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 17c | 1,946$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.62 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02fa…04d4backed No | 35c | 1,484$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac5…894cbacked Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 10c | 885.69$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.27 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 80c | 631.15$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.23 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes | 66c | 600$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked No | 35c | 549.14$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.2 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked No | 23c | 434.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 27c | 299.06$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.06 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 67c | 223.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 66c | 198$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 36c | 192.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.24 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 68c | 173.27$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…1a89backed Yes | 66c | 148.71$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 64c | 141.45$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…75a6backed Yes | 66c | 133.87$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed No | 36c | 132.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 20c | 107.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 67c | 98.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 13c | 96.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked No | 35c | 96.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…3d83backed No | 17c | 88.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 35c | 86.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 35c | 77.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7d…1f1abacked No | 19c | 76.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99f…0d86backed Yes | 67c | 73.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 18c | 67.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 66c | 66.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…79ccbacked No | 17c | 65.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 65c | 59.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 35c | 45.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…424cbacked Yes | 67c | 43.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d0…6fe4backed Yes | 65c | 42.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 34c | 41.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Yes | 77c | 38.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 35c | 34.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 67c | 34.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 77c | 30.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…8859backed Yes | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf31…b162backed Yes | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 67c | 19.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…e568backed Yes | 66c | 19.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-07?this page
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Club Bolívar end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-04-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.