NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x609c6c34124e61286cf38ee3b252dc4155a50824719a0cb907566b9140bb5297
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,562 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Under | 48c | 152,244$73,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,067.52 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 52c | 150,000$78,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,000 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 53c | 9,733$5,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,574.69 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 47c | 5,389$2,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,532.83 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 3,996$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.45 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 45c | 2,547$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.12 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 55c | 2,382$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.82 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 1,524$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.33 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 1,224$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.29 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 53c | 741.26$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.39 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 62c | 572.2$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.69 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 47c | 550.56$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.76 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 34c | 354.83$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.53 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 39c | 300$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.26 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Under | 47c | 276.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 53c | 267.77$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.88 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 37c | 263$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.69 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 55c | 212.12$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…30ddbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 49c | 173$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.86 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 46c | 159.26$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 53c | 139.89$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.75 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 48c | 137$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 52c | 135.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 52c | 131.63$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b80…600fbacked Under | 47c | 112.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 47c | 106.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x136c…6b91backed Over | 33c | 102.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 53c | 68.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Over | 55c | 58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 70c | 47.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x851d…a743backed Over | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 49c | 43.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 48c | 36.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…a600backed Under | 57c | 26.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 46c | 26.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084c…7544backed Over | 52c | 20.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…6a7dbacked Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3d…b1b8backed Over | 54c | 18.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.42per pick | 46cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5this page
- Jets vs. BruinsBruins won
- Jets vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Jets vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Jets vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.