NHL · resolved market
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61818096025ad4068f7a730294a87c7c896c57f818e5f851463f675bf7681b71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Bruins, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,477 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcebc…32adbacked Jets | 66c | 1,150$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Jets | 65c | 1,140$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.99 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…9a71backed Jets | 66c | 870$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2711…52a0backed Jets | 66c | 600$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Bruins | 35c | 530.08$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.55 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bruins | 45c | 512.02$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.16 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Bruins | 46c | 475.56$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.44 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jets | 56c | 451.79$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.83 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Bruins | 36c | 390.71$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.71 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Jets | 56c | 383.06$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.37 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Bruins | 69c | 362$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.22 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…d35cbacked Jets | 66c | 297$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75e…72a7backed Jets | 66c | 259$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Jets | 31c | 257.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.76 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeacd…f141backed Jets | 66c | 254$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Bruins | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3dc…2a22backed Bruins | 34c | 191$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0503…a390backed Bruins | 34c | 172$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d0…a1f8backed Bruins | 34c | 157$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Bruins | 35c | 151.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.71 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa2…4937backed Bruins | 34c | 148$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…74d7backed Bruins | 34c | 142$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Bruins | 36c | 140$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jets | 48c | 132.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bruins | 33c | 132.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.72 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Jets | 68c | 118.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jets | 47c | 109.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Jets | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Jets | 65c | 104.18$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Jets | 67c | 101.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Bruins | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Bruins | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Bruins | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -13.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Bruins | 33c | 96.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Bruins | 33c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Jets | 67c | 76.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Jets | 74c | 67.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bruins | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bruins | 32c | 66.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Jets | 67c | 58.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Jets | 66c | 56.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2851…e789backed Bruins | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Jets | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Jets | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bruins | 35c | 37.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Jets | 68c | 32.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Jets | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Jets | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Jets | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jets | 68c | 28.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Jets | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Jets | 68c | 23.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)this page
- Jets vs. BruinsBruins won
- Jets vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Jets vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Jets vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Jets vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.