TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Devils

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Devilsof Kings, Devils
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,012,191

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,012,191 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 520 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Devils59c414,750$242,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171,979.1167051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9976…67dabacked Kings42c372,818$155,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155,855.2319848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Devils58c148,774$86,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,485.2340351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Kings42c100,415$42,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,125.2448545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Devils59c60,434$35,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,777.7815054.7%82 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9b37…3b3ebacked Devils58c60,000$34,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,199.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings42c46,979$19,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,588.3661950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Kings41c39,544$16,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,21351550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd36…6ec9backed Kings41c35,990$14,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,755.92536%9 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Devils58c33,679$19,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,167.861,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Devils58c29,310$17,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,310.3424349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Devils59c24,000$14,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,899.9826058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Kings41c20,230$8,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,294.32540%10 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-29.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Devils63c15,685$9,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,856.5927448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Devils74c14,930$11,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,923.881,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed Kings42c14,155$5,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,945.2628447.9%136 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Kings41c13,971$5,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,727.9259450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Devils59c13,559$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,559.3240356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Kings42c11,905$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00032151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Kings41c11,560$4,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,739.654957.1%28 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Kings41c10,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,10015749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Kings41c10,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,10061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings41c9,000$3,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,689.991,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1632…cb68backed Kings41c8,923$3,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,658.432748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings29c8,649$2,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,487.3289636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Kings41c8,177$3,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,352.7222550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Kings41c8,016$3,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,286.5910146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings42c7,945$3,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,364.011,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Kings41c7,613$3,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,121.1548549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Kings41c7,000$2,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,87050049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Kings42c6,900$2,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,89851452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Devils57c6,428$3,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,766.5456649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Devils55c6,071$3,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,705.831,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Kings41c5,845$2,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,396.4518641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Kings47c5,447$2,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,581.5457157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings41c5,364$2,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,197.042,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kings43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1501,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings41c4,895$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,008.3479350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings40c4,621$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.41,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kings41c4,444$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,821.9891945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Devils59c4,237$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.2931550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Kings41c4,173$1,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7115230.8%16 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Kings41c4,000$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,64039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kings41c3,954$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,621.6645751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Kings15c3,821$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.8639344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings42c3,686$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.081,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked Kings42c3,607$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,514.962429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xdcef…a339backed Kings42c3,571$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.03955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Kings42c3,270$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.613446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Kings41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Kings42c2,800$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17683652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Kings45c2,665$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.831,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Devils59c2,607$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.810850.9%55 W · 53 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca4e…f97ebacked Kings42c2,590$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.8742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Devils58c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0501,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Kings42c2,380$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.623642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kings27c2,309$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.5560337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Kings19c2,277$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.2130259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Devils59c2,119$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.648748.3%42 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Devils59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82089249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Kings41c1,942$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.141,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Devils58c1,928$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.7684953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Devils60c1,849$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.1336748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Devils32c1,749$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.723151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…a992backed Kings23c1,739$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Devils63c1,714$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.795049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Kings41c1,710$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.144551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8be4…87b1backed Devils32c1,541$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+54.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed Devils59c1,360$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.863661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Kings46c1,303$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.3333447.9%160 W · 174 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Kings37c1,299$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.6133234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Devils70c1,284$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.465547.3%26 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Kings14c1,212$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5833837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a65…9142backed Devils59c1,200$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4922166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0673…0c27backed Kings42c1,151$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.211866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+29.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kings37c1,150$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.1599638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf4…d0cfbacked Kings47c1,143$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+56.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kings41c1,132$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.121,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Kings14c1,132$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.4489355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5b0…df60backed Kings42c1,098$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.141827.8%5 W · 13 L-5.4wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-52.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Kings41c1,080$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.6829448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Devils78c1,022$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.681,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Kings42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42024845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c6…75adbacked Kings41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41040152.4%210 W · 191 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Kings40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009157.1%52 W · 39 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Kings41c999.96$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.9832150.8%163 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Kings41c999.96$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.9862249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3c…e044backed Devils40c992.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.271020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-50.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Kings41c980$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.820144.8%90 W · 111 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa16f…abbebacked Kings68c959$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings41c943.9$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3872,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kings42c916.77$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.342,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Devils59c855$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.5526551.3%136 W · 129 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Kings18c840$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4582043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Devils68c828.4$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.0921856.4%123 W · 95 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x941f…bac9backed Kings12c816$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.923935.9%14 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7b9…41a9backed Kings22c803$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4723159.3%137 W · 94 L+22.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Kings46c771.37$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.836946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Kings18c746.5$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.371,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92d0…0011backed Kings41c740$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.41050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.