NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Devils: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26d585cf5f7161a18d5b7a2ef0d9f4363c39b9ff46fb45bf4a04c01070122a2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,687 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Over | 41c | 1,654$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.86 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 59c | 1,100$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 59c | 448.1$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.34 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 11c | 396$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…2906backed Over | 40c | 348$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…35d3backed Over | 40c | 339$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…2822backed Over | 40c | 319$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a7…b31ebacked Under | 60c | 280$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 15c | 276.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…7be9backed Over | 40c | 274$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5154…245dbacked Under | 60c | 268$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb06…dbeebacked Under | 60c | 267$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…e31bbacked Under | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…2e97backed Under | 60c | 245$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f5…704cbacked Under | 60c | 216$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 40c | 215.49$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.29 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…e4eebacked Under | 60c | 215$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d1…fe7ebacked Over | 40c | 211$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…4b9dbacked Over | 40c | 198$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc973…5d9dbacked Under | 60c | 191$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…ceedbacked Under | 60c | 186$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505b…93bebacked Over | 40c | 179$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…28adbacked Over | 42c | 154.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.62 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 60c | 134.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 60c | 118.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 62c | 75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 63c | 58.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…bc76backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 46c | 48.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Devils: O/U 6.5this page
- Kings vs. DevilsDevils won
- Kings vs. Devils: O/U 4.5Over won
- Kings vs. Devils: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kings vs. Devils: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.