NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Devils: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b40f10febda2fd4e47cd37e750c138ba7c76bb3813f960c37bc5b1366a2321e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $384,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $384,942 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 308,242$162,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145,753.67 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 183,855$87,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,477.56 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,500.01 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 47c | 37,153$17,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,461.86 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 21,594$10,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,365.12 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Over | 52c | 8,685$4,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,168.92 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 5,220$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,486.75 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 48c | 5,113$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,454.4 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 47c | 3,333$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.51 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 48c | 3,330$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.53 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 47c | 2,150$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.95 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Under | 48c | 1,362$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.76 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 48c | 1,312$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.76 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 51c | 1,050$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.5 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 49c | 908.76$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.29 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 49c | 884.9$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.44 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under | 48c | 819.56$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.39 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 49c | 818$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.82 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 729$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Over | 53c | 604.87$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.87 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 6c | 583.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 48c | 515.93$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.64 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Over | 50c | 461.88$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.94 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…cd74backed Under | 49c | 401.59$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec64…f26cbacked Over | 52c | 395.38$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Over | 51c | 296.98$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.52 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…28adbacked Over | 52c | 251.18$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.57 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 250.78$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.87 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Under | 49c | 245.19$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.72 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 186.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 176.46$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Under | 49c | 157.14$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf47c…e36bbacked Under | 49c | 132.53$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 127.51$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.23 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Under | 49c | 127.12$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed Under | 49c | 121.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 117.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 48c | 115.73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…efc7backed Under | 47c | 107.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 104.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…5493backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed Over | 53c | 94.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Over | 53c | 94.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Over | 52c | 93.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 35c | 88.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 46c | 72.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.18 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 50c | 72.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 61c | 61.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 49c | 60.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 40c | 56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 47c | 47.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd732…0fd0backed Under | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked Over | 47c | 42.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 52c | 41.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…4094backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 48c | 37.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Over | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…acfebacked Over | 53c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b38…698dbacked Under | 49c | 30.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 37c | 30.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd827…fe79backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 51c | 26.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 50c | 26.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf39…591ebacked Under | 49c | 21.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Under | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0466…b3a5backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Devils: O/U 5.5this page
- Kings vs. DevilsDevils won
- Kings vs. Devils: O/U 4.5Over won
- Kings vs. Devils: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kings vs. Devils: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.