TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nebraska Cornhuskersof Nebraska Cornhuskers, Iowa Hawkeyes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,755

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,755 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbb2f…eca9backed Nebraska Cornhuskers52c19,182$9,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,238.8111652.6%61 W · 55 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Iowa Hawkeyes49c16,872$8,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,309.9984147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec1…057cbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers53c9,352$4,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,395.498957.3%51 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes47c8,974$4,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,247.4190645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Nebraska Cornhuskers51c7,140$3,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,498.5910648.1%51 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Iowa Hawkeyes48c6,588$3,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,143.3912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Iowa Hawkeyes48c5,138$2,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,466.265349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Nebraska Cornhuskers53c3,741$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,758.515557.4%89 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Iowa Hawkeyes48c3,680$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,766.434146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers52c3,500$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68527947.3%132 W · 147 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nebraska Cornhuskers51c2,422$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.782,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Iowa Hawkeyes48c2,355$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.235759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Nebraska Cornhuskers48c2,020$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.418349.2%90 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Iowa Hawkeyes48c1,239$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.7624847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Iowa Hawkeyes48c1,074$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.465450%27 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Nebraska Cornhuskers52c693.88$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.165154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9764…c40cbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers53c673.32$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.465253.8%28 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes48c600.01$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2882,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Iowa Hawkeyes48c583.19$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9340755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Iowa Hawkeyes47c504$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.885,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Nebraska Cornhuskers51c490$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.19151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Iowa Hawkeyes22c397.03$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.562,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Nebraska Cornhuskers47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15942934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Iowa Hawkeyes53c297.38$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.6110846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Nebraska Cornhuskers69c287.68$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1816253.1%86 W · 76 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Iowa Hawkeyes52c285.94$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.696150.8%31 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Iowa Hawkeyes49c263.16$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8679448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Iowa Hawkeyes48c208.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9212147.9%58 W · 63 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Iowa Hawkeyes54c183.58$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1323941.4%99 W · 140 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbddc…83b9backed Nebraska Cornhuskers54c183.58$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.447048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Iowa Hawkeyes47c173.85$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9984854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Nebraska Cornhuskers49c145.71$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3161244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Nebraska Cornhuskers52c127.03$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9730649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Nebraska Cornhuskers55c114$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.33,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes48c104.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.122544.9%101 W · 124 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d3…bd58backed Iowa Hawkeyes48c103.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.564242.9%18 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Iowa Hawkeyes49c101.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5634746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers53c101$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4721850.9%111 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Iowa Hawkeyes47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Nebraska Cornhuskers51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0482846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda82…f9d5backed Iowa Hawkeyes48c94.77$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.491735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Iowa Hawkeyes48c92.93$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6117551.4%90 W · 85 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Iowa Hawkeyes51c82.63$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1434343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2442…0c2bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes49c80.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6514051.4%72 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Iowa Hawkeyes47c75.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.161,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Iowa Hawkeyes51c74$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7427755.2%153 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers52c70.35$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.093737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Iowa Hawkeyes48c65.42$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3826550.6%134 W · 131 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Iowa Hawkeyes48c62.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8758652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd598…c67cbacked Iowa Hawkeyes48c55.76$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.764748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Iowa Hawkeyes44c49.57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8155840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa1…176bbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers43c49.54$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.242850%14 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Nebraska Cornhuskers43c46.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2833855%186 W · 152 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Iowa Hawkeyes48c44.61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.413452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9565…93efbacked Iowa Hawkeyes48c41.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6940%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Nebraska Cornhuskers52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.262753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Iowa Hawkeyes48c39.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0316551.5%85 W · 80 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Iowa Hawkeyes48c30.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7532850%164 W · 164 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Nebraska Cornhuskers53c30.6$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5160954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc37f…333bbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers54c29.42$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.65771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7215…7cb0backed Nebraska Cornhuskers53c28.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.19771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Iowa Hawkeyes43c27.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9424951.8%129 W · 120 L+19.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Iowa Hawkeyes48c27.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2729650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers71c20.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.051,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Nebraska Cornhuskers71c19.86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7635852%186 W · 172 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.