Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc93cc9b265aa8ee21d573861bde39fd8b942da0d75b475379293bdc5b7fcfc35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,862 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex | 55c | 29,770$16,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,369.81 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x230d…1cddbacked MOUZ | 46c | 28,336$13,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,034.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked MOUZ | 45c | 21,111$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,499.94 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a27…9edbbacked Team Yandex | 54c | 14,877$8,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,843.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ | 46c | 9,672$4,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,471.71 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…abd8backed Team Yandex | 54c | 8,949$4,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,116.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked MOUZ | 49c | 8,557$4,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,192.93 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Yandex | 51c | 8,532$4,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,180.9 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex | 54c | 7,408$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,407.68 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed MOUZ | 47c | 6,119$2,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,875.81 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Team Yandex | 53c | 5,027$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.81 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked MOUZ | 40c | 4,500$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…3f9cbacked Team Yandex | 54c | 4,318$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd722…2b5bbacked MOUZ | 48c | 4,276$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Team Yandex | 53c | 3,800$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ | 45c | 3,561$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.37 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 3,470$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.95 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f72…adc6backed Team Yandex | 70c | 3,425$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.37 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Yandex | 54c | 3,359$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.66 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked MOUZ | 49c | 3,120$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.8 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Team Yandex | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed MOUZ | 47c | 2,605$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.16 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Team Yandex | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 10c | 2,139$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Yandex | 52c | 2,104$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.03 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Team Yandex | 55c | 2,100$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.66 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 30c | 2,079$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed MOUZ | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Team Yandex | 52c | 1,943$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.04 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.82 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 35c | 1,432$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.81 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…7287backed MOUZ | 58c | 1,384$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Team Yandex | 79c | 1,264$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.52 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Yandex | 53c | 1,262$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.14 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…13a1backed MOUZ | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed MOUZ | 3c | 1,100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed MOUZ | 51c | 982.43$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…2014backed MOUZ | 49c | 948.18$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed MOUZ | 48c | 906.98$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.35 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked MOUZ | 49c | 890$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.8 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Team Yandex | 50c | 870.12$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.06 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Yandex | 78c | 865.02$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.3 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed MOUZ | 50c | 862$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.8 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Yandex | 51c | 860$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.4 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed MOUZ | 50c | 850$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed MOUZ | 44c | 833.76$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.86 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked MOUZ | 46c | 815$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.9 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed MOUZ | 47c | 806.02$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.83 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 746.32$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.84 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed MOUZ | 45c | 734.07$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Yandex | 62c | 721.37$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.37 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Yandex | 67c | 700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Team Yandex | 76c | 700$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed MOUZ | 33c | 700$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Yandex | 72c | 700$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.51 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed MOUZ | 46c | 649.6$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.27 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked MOUZ | 47c | 640$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed MOUZ | 44c | 615.6$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.86 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed MOUZ | 46c | 614.95$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.88 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed MOUZ | 49c | 611.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Yandex | 80c | 606$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Yandex | 59c | 598.73$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.39 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Yandex | 73c | 577.91$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.62 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked Team Yandex | 53c | 577.17$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.71 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Team Yandex | 53c | 565.6$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.74 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Team Yandex | 53c | 521.27$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Team Yandex | 67c | 520.03$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.03 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Team Yandex | 51c | 509.28$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.55 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed MOUZ | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +45%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked MOUZ | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 37c | 485.14$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Team Yandex | 56c | 477$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.53 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed MOUZ | 44c | 454.4$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.45 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Yandex | 54c | 452.77$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.22 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Team Yandex | 57c | 440.64$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.64 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Yandex | 69c | 426.38$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.76 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed MOUZ | 47c | 425.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed MOUZ | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 38c | 399.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.89 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked MOUZ | 11c | 392.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Team Yandex | 52c | 385.38$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.28 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed MOUZ | 47c | 361.7$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Yandex | 48c | 350$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.41 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac6a…ba57backed MOUZ | 46c | 350$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Team Yandex | 54c | 343.75$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.95 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Yandex | 54c | 322.28$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.82 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Team Yandex | 54c | 310.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.06 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…41ebbacked MOUZ | 47c | 308$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.76 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +86%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked MOUZ | 46c | 303.3$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…b149backed MOUZ | 13c | 300$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Yandex | 79c | 300$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Yandex | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.18 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…ce3bbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 297.86$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.14 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…95d1backed Team Yandex | 51c | 292.14$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed MOUZ | 10c | 285.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed MOUZ | 73c | 284.93$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed MOUZ | 47c | 274.36$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.