Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4eb7ac466cad98e9b12293ee21186adce375f4616845e24ce853c97c3057476c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,254 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ | 47c | 21,452$10,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,082.89 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex | 53c | 15,193$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,193.5 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Team Yandex | 50c | 8,047$4,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,991.24 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Yandex | 50c | 5,362$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.42 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed MOUZ | 53c | 5,010$2,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.12 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Team Yandex | 48c | 4,794$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.22 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 34c | 3,835$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.29 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked MOUZ | 48c | 2,888$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.22 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Team Yandex | 54c | 2,352$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.99 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex | 46c | 2,188$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.85 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team Yandex | 53c | 2,115$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.74 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 49c | 2,032$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.59 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked MOUZ | 54c | 1,846$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.72 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…12cabacked MOUZ | 55c | 1,424$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.55 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Yandex | 48c | 1,194$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.92 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…18aebacked MOUZ | 51c | 1,179$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Yandex | 52c | 1,009$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.61 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed MOUZ | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Yandex | 54c | 994.88$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.65 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked MOUZ | 50c | 989.88$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.18 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed Team Yandex | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Yandex | 52c | 827.73$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.99 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Yandex | 48c | 811.98$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.23 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Yandex | 52c | 708$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.19 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed MOUZ | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed MOUZ | 44c | 683.5$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.74 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Team Yandex | 54c | 650.39$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.44 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed MOUZ | 48c | 590.21$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.49 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Team Yandex | 48c | 590$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.8 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…7287backed MOUZ | 53c | 563.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Yandex | 48c | 560$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.2 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed MOUZ | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Team Yandex | 57c | 526.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.49 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Yandex | 54c | 504.24$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.24 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed MOUZ | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Yandex | 52c | 494.62$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.42 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…3539backed MOUZ | 44c | 452.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked MOUZ | 48c | 443.34$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.62 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed MOUZ | 4c | 416.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a6…8651backed MOUZ | 45c | 400$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Yandex | 79c | 352.31$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked MOUZ | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Yandex | 50c | 296.11$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.4 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked MOUZ | 36c | 290.43$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked MOUZ | 50c | 279.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.76 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Team Yandex | 79c | 251.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed MOUZ | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed MOUZ | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Team Yandex | 80c | 203.33$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked MOUZ | 19c | 200.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…9aeabacked MOUZ | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f07…c74fbacked MOUZ | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Team Yandex | 52c | 197$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed MOUZ | 51c | 195.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked MOUZ | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Yandex | 80c | 182.53$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked MOUZ | 46c | 180.75$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.81 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed MOUZ | 54c | 174$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.96 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked MOUZ | 50c | 168.32$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.92 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Yandex | 48c | 161.8$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.86 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 46c | 137.45$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Team Yandex | 51c | 127.35$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.11 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…38cbbacked MOUZ | 50c | 110.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b2…03acbacked MOUZ | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed70…4f63backed MOUZ | 50c | 107.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed MOUZ | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked MOUZ | 51c | 103.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed MOUZ | 50c | 101.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…d4a7backed MOUZ | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked MOUZ | 49c | 91.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Team Yandex | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…a721backed MOUZ | 50c | 88.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked MOUZ | 50c | 82.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…92a6backed MOUZ | 51c | 82.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde95…b97fbacked MOUZ | 51c | 78.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed MOUZ | 48c | 77.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13aa…88d6backed Team Yandex | 52c | 76.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 187 | 69%129 W · 58 L | +20.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…a463backed MOUZ | 54c | 75.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed MOUZ | 56c | 71.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Yandex | 55c | 65.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed MOUZ | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc89…3015backed MOUZ | 48c | 61.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -64%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5261…3ddbbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa506…7d8abacked MOUZ | 51c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.8wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…a5f1backed MOUZ | 50c | 59.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed MOUZ | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed MOUZ | 30c | 53.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed MOUZ | 51c | 53.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 203 | 49.8%101 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed MOUZ | 45c | 50.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Yandex | 80c | 50.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Team Yandex | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3726…8521backed MOUZ | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed MOUZ | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf151…24c7backed MOUZ | 49c | 49.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…83b3backed MOUZ | 51c | 41.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Team Yandex | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…2071backed MOUZ | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…8506backed MOUZ | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cc…2dcdbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 36.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x214a…d34bbacked MOUZ | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.