TailMyPicks
Market

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Yandexof Team Yandex, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,254 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ47c21,452$10,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,082.8955157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex53c15,193$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,193.554556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Team Yandex50c8,047$4,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,991.2411854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Yandex50c5,362$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,662.421,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0738…6392backed MOUZ53c5,010$2,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,664.1221264.2%136 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked Team Yandex48c4,794$2,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479.226043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ34c3,835$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.291,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked MOUZ48c2,888$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.2222954.1%124 W · 105 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x506b…3f70backed Team Yandex54c2,352$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.996145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex46c2,188$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.852,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Team Yandex53c2,115$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.7433041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ49c2,032$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.592,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked MOUZ54c1,846$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.7222842.1%96 W · 132 L-25.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x83a0…12cabacked MOUZ55c1,424$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.554757.4%27 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Yandex48c1,194$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.9248539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d97…18aebacked MOUZ51c1,179$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Team Yandex52c1,009$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.6166662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed MOUZ52c999.99$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52053652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Yandex54c994.88$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.6579959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked MOUZ50c989.88$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.1842145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f40…e1f2backed Team Yandex51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.394932.7%16 W · 33 L-7.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.1%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Yandex52c827.73$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.991,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Yandex48c811.98$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.2360646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Team Yandex52c708$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.1971454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb67…fd46backed MOUZ48c700$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3369533.7%32 W · 63 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf2…a469backed MOUZ44c683.5$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.7413455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Team Yandex54c650.39$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.449053.3%48 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed MOUZ48c590.21$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.4946649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed Team Yandex48c590$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.828549.1%140 W · 145 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d33…7287backed MOUZ53c563.91$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Yandex48c560$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.241242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed MOUZ45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a12…d212backed Team Yandex57c526.49$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.498957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Yandex54c504.24$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.2446240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3fb…19c0backed MOUZ53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2656735.8%24 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Team Yandex52c494.62$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.4258744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x772c…3539backed MOUZ44c452.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked MOUZ48c443.34$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.6216440.2%66 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed MOUZ4c416.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6511043.6%48 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a6…8651backed MOUZ45c400$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Yandex79c352.31$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.982,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked MOUZ49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14788166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Team Yandex50c296.11$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.474549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked MOUZ36c290.43$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10552649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked MOUZ50c279.67$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.7616550.9%84 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Team Yandex79c251.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8814744.2%65 W · 82 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed MOUZ50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12013138.9%51 W · 80 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed MOUZ46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046049.8%229 W · 231 L+2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed Team Yandex80c203.33$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6715064.7%97 W · 53 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked MOUZ19c200.38$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0637811.1%42 W · 336 L+0.8wins0.00per pick11cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95d6…9aeabacked MOUZ53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10612132.2%39 W · 82 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f07…c74fbacked MOUZ28c200$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574037.5%15 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Team Yandex52c197$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5633549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed MOUZ51c195.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020350.7%103 W · 100 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked MOUZ52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019443.3%84 W · 110 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Team Yandex80c182.53$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0261548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked MOUZ46c180.75$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.819350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6450…9547backed MOUZ54c174$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9610141.6%42 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76fc…48fabacked MOUZ50c168.32$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9213247.7%63 W · 69 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Team Yandex48c161.8$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8691553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ46c137.45$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.211,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Team Yandex51c127.35$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1144645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9401…38cbbacked MOUZ50c110.27$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.074454.5%24 W · 20 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44b2…03acbacked MOUZ46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502035%7 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-31.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed70…4f63backed MOUZ50c107.33$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.54045%18 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed MOUZ47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5072154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5264…54cebacked MOUZ51c103.04$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.512348%59 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed MOUZ50c101.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4715549%76 W · 79 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe965…d4a7backed MOUZ51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0702…e5eabacked MOUZ49c91.94$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4540745.5%185 W · 222 L-1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Team Yandex55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9186451.7%447 W · 417 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2482…a721backed MOUZ50c88.34$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.999251.1%47 W · 45 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked MOUZ50c82.54$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6213752.6%72 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b4…92a6backed MOUZ51c82.39$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde95…b97fbacked MOUZ51c78.23$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed MOUZ48c77.24$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8722456.3%126 W · 98 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13aa…88d6backed Team Yandex52c76.41$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4118769%129 W · 58 L+20.5wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+18.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x89bc…a463backed MOUZ54c75.93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4c0…23d8backed MOUZ56c71.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4023957.3%137 W · 102 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Yandex55c65.12$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0636054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed MOUZ47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3059556.6%337 W · 258 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc89…3015backed MOUZ48c61.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.691020%2 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-64%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5261…3ddbbacked Team Yandex57c61.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.43661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa506…7d8abacked MOUZ51c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3140%0 W · 4 L-2.8wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x46b2…a5f1backed MOUZ50c59.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.586656.1%37 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed MOUZ50c54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7650832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed MOUZ30c53.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.885318.9%10 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed MOUZ51c53.48$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0320349.8%101 W · 102 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed MOUZ45c50.66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.878516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Yandex80c50.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2191356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed Team Yandex50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2560660.7%368 W · 238 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3726…8521backed MOUZ50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed MOUZ50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf151…24c7backed MOUZ49c49.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4516849.4%83 W · 85 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d2…83b3backed MOUZ51c41.08$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9511563.5%73 W · 42 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Team Yandex50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2037851.1%193 W · 185 L-1.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe252…2071backed MOUZ43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.217149.7%85 W · 86 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bf1…8506backed MOUZ49c37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3111653.4%62 W · 54 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03cc…2dcdbacked Team Yandex55c36.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.541353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x214a…d34bbacked MOUZ47c36.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.