Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa223735dc9755bbb3f2119067d063f909c500f45430657254bf8e63b26ec9b10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Team Yandex, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,928 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex | 52c | 27,871$14,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,574.08 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ | 52c | 25,794$13,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,479.28 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 46c | 5,076$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,752.37 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Team Yandex | 49c | 4,823$2,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370.54 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Team Yandex | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked MOUZ | 50c | 2,989$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.57 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked MOUZ | 47c | 2,650$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.75 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked MOUZ | 49c | 2,030$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.97 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ | 45c | 1,597$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.96 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed MOUZ | 54c | 1,318$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.28 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…18aebacked MOUZ | 54c | 1,054$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ | 46c | 1,050$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Yandex | 49c | 1,010$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Team Yandex | 13c | 898.66$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.81 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 52c | 775.22$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.22 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 48c | 679.78$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.11 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Team Yandex | 5c | 615.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6c…30c5backed MOUZ | 71c | 613.53$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.38 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed MOUZ | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Yandex | 48c | 368.8$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.02 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd29a…0d14backed MOUZ | 47c | 365$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5beb…eb12backed MOUZ | 47c | 363$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 47c | 361.66$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.68 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…29e4backed MOUZ | 47c | 351$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Yandex | 7c | 339.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed MOUZ | 58c | 328.16$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.63 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed Team Yandex | 19c | 299.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Team Yandex | 20c | 293.11$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed MOUZ | 53c | 290.7$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.63 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked MOUZ | 54c | 262.1$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.62 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7c…eb45backed MOUZ | 47c | 259$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8681…869cbacked MOUZ | 47c | 253$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddf…e0a1backed MOUZ | 47c | 247$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…1cfbbacked Team Yandex | 53c | 234$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…db0dbacked Team Yandex | 53c | 220$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…6618backed Team Yandex | 53c | 215$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Team Yandex | 16c | 202.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed MOUZ | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…255fbacked MOUZ | 54c | 194.65$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…b149backed Team Yandex | 6c | 194.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Yandex | 12c | 190.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ | 48c | 190$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed MOUZ | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Team Yandex | 48c | 174.13$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Yandex | 10c | 170.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca6c…32dabacked Team Yandex | 53c | 169$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…d542backed Team Yandex | 53c | 164$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4175…2a20backed Team Yandex | 53c | 160$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked MOUZ | 54c | 153.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…a8cdbacked Team Yandex | 53c | 149$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8e…7c98backed Team Yandex | 53c | 142$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked MOUZ | 54c | 132$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87c1…ea70backed Team Yandex | 53c | 132$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa5…8863backed Team Yandex | 53c | 128$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Team Yandex | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…9a6abacked Team Yandex | 53c | 125$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…9aeabacked Team Yandex | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked MOUZ | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Yandex | 31c | 93.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed MOUZ | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Team Yandex | 19c | 84.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Team Yandex | 34c | 79.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…38cbbacked MOUZ | 55c | 78.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed MOUZ | 55c | 68.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Yandex | 31c | 60.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Yandex | 36c | 59.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed Team Yandex | 49c | 58.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…a721backed MOUZ | 55c | 58.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked MOUZ | 54c | 55.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Yandex | 46c | 54.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…0f34backed MOUZ | 55c | 53.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked MOUZ | 54c | 52.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3726…8521backed Team Yandex | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…a5f1backed MOUZ | 54c | 46.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Team Yandex | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…bd2dbacked Team Yandex | 48c | 39.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…8506backed MOUZ | 54c | 38.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Team Yandex | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Team Yandex | 47c | 35.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed MOUZ | 54c | 31.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 203 | 49.8%101 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…d60dbacked MOUZ | 55c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 53c | 30.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf151…24c7backed MOUZ | 54c | 30.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked MOUZ | 44c | 27.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed MOUZ | 48c | 23.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 137 | 33.6%46 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Yandex | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…92a6backed MOUZ | 54c | 20.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f95…38ffbacked MOUZ | 54c | 19.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc89…3015backed MOUZ | 53c | 18.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -64%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…f817backed MOUZ | 54c | 18.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.